Interested in big picture considerations and thoughtful action.
Care to explain? Is the Servant God an ASI and the true makers the humans that built it? Why did the makers hide their deeds?
Thanks for the riff!
Note, I wasn't sure how to convey it but in the version I wrote, I didn't mean it as a world where people have god-like powers. The only change intended was that it was a world where it was normal for six-year-olds to be able to think about multiple universes and understand what counts as advanced math for us, like Group Theory. There were a couple things I was thinking about:
Disclaimer: I'm not a Group Theorist and the LLM I asked said it would take ten plus years if ever for me to be able to derive the order of the Fischer–Griess monster group from first principles (but it's normal that the child could do this).
Prompt: write a micro play that is both disturbing and comforting
--
Title: "The Silly Child"
Scene: A mother is putting to bed her six-year-old child
CHILD: Mommy, how many universes are there?
MOTHER: As many as are possible.
CHILD (smiling): Can we make another one?
MOTHER (smiling): Sure. And while we're at it, let's delete the number 374? I've never liked that one.
CHILD (excited): Oh! And let's make a new Fischer-Griess group element too! Can we do that Mommy?
MOTHER (bops nose) That's enough stalling. You need to get your sleep. Sweet dreams, little one. (kisses forehead)
End
Thank you for your clear response. How about another example? If somebody offers to flip a fair coin and give me $11 if Heads and $10 if Tails then I will happily take this bet. If they say we're going to repeat the same bet 1000 times then I will take this bet also and I expect to gain and unlikely to lose a lot. If instead they show me five unfair coins and say they are weighted from 20% Heads to 70% Heads then I'll be taking on more risk. The other three could be all 21% Heads or all 69% Heads but if I had to pick then I'll pick Tails because if I know nothing about the other three and I know nothing about if the other person wants me to make or lose money then I'd figure the other three are randomly biased within that range (even though I could be playing a loser's game for 1000 rounds with flips of those coins if each time one of the coins is selected randomly to flip, but it's still better than picking Heads). Is this the situation we're discussing?
Maximality seems asymmetrical and losing information?
Maybe it will help me to have an example though I'm not sure if this is a good one… if I have two weather forecasts that provide different probabilities for 0 inches, 1 inch, etc but I have absolutely no idea about which forecast is better, and I don't want to go out if there is greater than 20% probability of more than 2 inches of rain then I'd weigh each forecast equally and calculate the probability from there. If the forecasts themselves provide a high/low probabilities for 0 inches, 1 inch, etc then I'd think this isn't a very good forecast since the forecaster should either have combined all their analysis into a single probability (say 30%) or else given the conditions under which they give their low end (say 10%) or high end (say 40%) and then if I didn't have any opinions on the probability of those conditions then I would weigh the low and high equally (and get 25%). Do you think I should be doing something different (or what is a better example)?
This seems like 2 questions:
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Cool. Is this right? For something with a 1/n chance of success I can have a 95% chance of success by making 3n attempts, for large values of n. About what does "large" mean here?
Yes, and also just that I find it a little creepy/alien to imagine a young child that could be that good at math.