J.C. Scaly
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J.C. Scaly has not written any posts yet.

J.C. Scaly has not written any posts yet.

I might be 12 years late, but I am only now reading Rationality and taking the time to properly address these issues.
What I have really found to be missing is the reason why availability is, in most cases, a bias; why generalizing a limited set of personal-experiences and memories is statistically wrong.
That reason, of course, lays in the fact that the available examples we rely on when this heuristic comes into play does not form a valid statistical sample. Nor in sample size (we would need dozens, if not hundreds of examples to reach proper confidence level and intervals, where we usually rely on only few [<10].) and nor in sampling... (read more)
I think that the God reference and foul language used in Cure_of_Ars comment have misdirected an important criticism to this article, which I for one would like to hear your responses to, so please for those who downvoted and saved the criticism for his comment, I would like to hear your thoughts and have it explained to me; for me, it is not trivial that he has no point in his first paragraph.
But to clarify, I'd restate my open questions on the subject which were partly described by his comment.
The original formulation of this principle is: "Entities should not be multiplied without necessity." This formulation is not that clear to me;... (read 969 more words →)