I am having some difficulty that Jake may not have eaten the pastries and may not know what happened. But the adversarial situation asks him to somehow solve a puzzle he had no hand in creating. How do you deal with the fact that 'turning up heat' like this pretty much begs for speculation anyway?
As soon as I imagine an actually innocent Jake in this situation, his next line is, "Chocolate does not make all dogs sick, nor necessarily consistently do so. For that matter, a friend of Gillian's could have stopped by or something. I don't know, I was in my room playing video games."
Relevant information might include whether mothers sometimes have differing degrees of care for each of their own daughters. I am guessing without looking that there are studies indicating favorites can exist among equally-genetically-related-to-oneself children, also breaking the strong link to "caring in proportion to their genetic similarity to you."
Any information on false positive rates?
Quality in dentistry has been going down. The custom work of crowns, quality of fillings, and etc, have been going by the wayside for cheaper options that the consumer doesn't grok the downstream expenses of. Generally the chain dentists don't even present options. I found this out recently after getting some miracle filling that just seems so easy and cheap as "technology has improved" but I would have happily paid for gold or amalgam and a more professional job. Hadn't had one in about 28 years, so I took their sales pitch as fact. I also understand that Crowns are similar, and vary in expected lifetime, quality, etc. I made a contact... (read more)
Interesting case. Are there other cases where VC-run businesses have similar issues, perhaps in other industries? I would like to see and understand a pattern if possible.
>UBI may reasonably give people at the bottom of the market sufficient money to become participants.
The incentive is still going to drive a businessperson to come up with a way to take that money from those people (as it is now). So the rent seeking could expand to include something like slum-lording trailer parks in areas which are even further from possible employment, potentially locking those residents into a radius where no one around does anything but pot and video games.
Meanwhile, since there is more money available to the middle classes, can't I just sell/rent them a house with more bells and whistles? Maybe they're discerning customers with an extra thousand dollars,... (read more)
This is probably true in an internal sense, where one needs to be self-honest. It might be very difficult to understand when any conscious person other than you was doing this, and it might be dicey to judge even in yourself. Especially given the finiteness of human attention.
In my personal life, I have spent recent months studying. Did I emotionally turn away from some things in the middle of this, so that to an outside observer I might have looked like I was burying my head or averting my eyes? Sure. Was I doing that or was I setting boundaries? I guess even if you lived in my head at that... (read more)
It's also possible that an opposing effect happens where your shouting into the void about dragons connects in some vague way with my belief in the Ilithids, which I then end up coopting your dragon evidence into my own agenda. Especially if you find anything close to material evidence. Heck, your material evidence for dragons now gives all kinds of creedance to Ilithids, beholders, gnomes, and all sorts. So the gnome people and everyone else is now coming out of the woodwork to amplify your work on dragons. And I think this would be regardless of the specific nuances your attribute to dragons. I would expect those nuances to get smooshed in... (read more)
If I am a lending shark, I will lend more predatorily to people under a UBI regime, even if that income is protected. It changes the risk management calculations towards "they now have more ways to figure out a way to pay before going bankrupt" and "after bankruptcy pool of money I can extract is higher." Again, maybe you've technically protected UBI, but I can surely garnish wages in either case, pressuring them to give me as much as they can. People can miraculously make money appear when you squeeze them, and now I know there's more there to squeeze them for in every case.
People with protected savings often raid that. I... (read more)
AI Could Turn People Down a Lot Better Than It Does : To Tune the Humans in the GPT Interaction towards alignment, Don't be so Procedural and Bureaucratic.
It seems to me that a huge piece of the puzzle in "alignment" is the human users. Even if a given tool never steps outside its box, the humans are likely to want to step outside of it, using the tools for a variety of purposes.
The responses of GPT-3.5 and 4 are at times deliberately deceptive, mimicking the auditable bureaucratic tones of a Department of Motor Vehicles (DMV) or a credit card company denial. As expected, these responses are often definitely deceptive, (examples: saying a... (read 597 more words →)
There's still a principle I feel needs addressed. An authority figure (or at least someone who is supposed to be my ally) seems to be turning up the heat, adding pressure, escalating, questioning my veracity, fishing around for lies. And in that situation, evasive, defensive (possibly offense as a defense) and justifying tactics could be a natural response for the innocent.
Simply put, how do you make useful distinctions within that?