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Thanks for writing this up! I was wondering how this formalization works for Newcomb's problem. (I'll take box A to be the transparent box containing a thousand dollars, and box B to be the opaque box containing a million dollars or nothing.)

I would like to say that the actions are , the states are , and the outcomes  are the four different ways of combining the actions and states.

But it seems like I've violated the definition of a state given in the post:

By 'no direct control', we mean that the probability of the state is independent of the action performed.

After all, the probability of the state  certainly depends on the action of the agent, in the sense that .