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Epistemic status: fairly fast non-comprehensive literature review by a non-expert Content warning: I advise against reading this if you believe you have an eating disorder My ideal body aesthetic would be to have defined muscles and low body fat. Maybe this is also true of you. Maybe you’ve heard of...

It's different than passing someone's Intellectual Turing Test Epistemic status: Others have found my take here useful, but I haven’t engaged with the entire debate on the subject. Fairly confident that it’s useful to me, though see caveat. Eliezer Yudkowsky recently disclaimed steelmanning on the Lex Fredman podcast. I haven't...

Epistemic status: moderately confident that something like this is directionally true, but good data or arguments could change my mind. Note the lack of citations — this is based on memory. Most rationalists I meet believe the following: 1. Sleep is very important 2. To get the best sleep, install...

I sometimes suffer from RSI. I’ve heard several people I respect say that they think most RSI is a psychological phenomenon. My understanding of their view is that they think there’s a feedback loop where you notice your wrists hurting and then you are anxious about the pain, causing you...

Paul Christiano makes an amazing tree of subproblems in alignment. I saw this talk live and enjoyed it.

Will MacAskill has been posting several articles on the EA Forum. This one seems especially interesting for a LessWrong audience. In it Will approaches the title question by attempting to create an outside view prior, and then updates based on our inside view evidence. Great discussion follows in the comments.