This year's Spring ACX Meetup everywhere in Las Vegas.
Location: California Pizza Kitchen at Town Square. With a big ACX sign. – https://plus.codes/85863R9F+6W
Group Link: https://discord.gg/AwmEgW2Q6r
Contact: ray.jonathan.w@gmail.com
We don't observe any Dyson swarms in our lightcone, and would be capable of detecting dyson swarms tens of thousands of light years away, but the maximum expansion speed of AI control is much less than the speed of light when I extrapolate from known physics. This should be taken as weak evidence that AIs don't inevitably build Dyson swarms and try to take over the universe. I think the probability of AI doom is still quite large.
My experience is very different. I feel unitary, without any IFS or jungian shadow or other sort of subconscious parts trying to deceive my conscious self. I violate quite a lot of social norms without feeling any shame or guilt about it, because I've got an 'internal scorecard'. So long as I'm true to my own values/morality, and I can protect myself with some combination of power / occlumency / disengaging, all three of which come easily to me, social norms don't matter in private.
prices are one of the best mechanisms for communicating the strength of preferences, but perhaps among friends you want a separate made-up currency with a more equal distribution. Daniel Reeves just bites the bullet and uses dollars though: https://messymatters.com/tv/
Re computational unkindness, optimizing solely for what one person wants is easy. The complexity mostly arises from the picker trying to satisfy others' implicit preferences that they pretend not to have for the sake of being "flexible".
This year's Spring ACX Meetup everywhere in Las Vegas.
Location: Tree Top Park – https://plus.codes/85865MR8+3JM
Group Link: https://discord.gg/3gdefR43Pc?event=1216096364673499246
Feel free to talk about anything you want to talk about! Please actually show up if you RSVP!
Contact: ray.jonathan.w@gmail.com
This year's ACX Meetup everywhere in Las Vegas, Nevada, USA.
Location: At Little Avalon with an ACX sign – https://plus.codes/85864MWX+PJ
We use discord for all meetup announcements and communications: https://discord.gg/9rgzTgeHC8
Contact: Ray.Jonathan.W@gmail.com
This year's ACX Meetup everywhere in Las Vegas, Nevada, USA.
Location: At Little Avalon with a giant ACX sign – https://plus.codes/85864MWX+PJ
Contact: ray.jonathan.w@gmail.com
If our corrupted hardware can't be trusted to compute the consequences in a specific case, it probably also can't be trusted to compute the consequences of a general rule. All our derivations of deontological rules will be tilted in the direction of self interest or tribalism or unexamined disgust responses, not some galaxy-brained evaluation of the consequences of applying the rule to all possible situations.
Russell conjugation: I have deontological guardrails, you have customs, he has ancient taboos.
[edit: related Scott post which I endorse in spite of what I said above: https://slatestarcodex.com/2014/02/23/in-favor-of-niceness-community-and-civilization/]
This year's ACX Meetup everywhere in Las Vegas, NV.
Location: At El Segundo Sol restaurant with giant ACX MEETUP signs – 85864RHJ+3H
Contact: ray.jonathan.w@gmail.com
We meet regularly and mostly just socialize. We have a new [Discord server](https://discord.gg/aw6fP2bkHp).
At El Segundo Sol restaraunt in the fashion show mall, with some signs that say "ACX MEETUP".
It's a social meetup without any agenda. There's been a 5+ person meetup every month since October but I neglected to advertise them anywhere besides email until now (oops). We have a small tight knit nucleus that we're hoping to grow into a larger rationalist community in Vegas.
Please RSVP so I can add you to my announcement mailing list but it's ok to come without RSVPing.
[epistemic status: n=1, but the theory seems fine. Mixture of theory and personal narrative. Trigger warnings: body image issues, money, and info-dumping without a great narrative flow. I am not a good rationalist yet, haven't even finished reading the sequences yet, and this is my first long post on here.]
The obesity epidemic emerges from processed food manufacturers competing to get you to eat more of their product by any means necessary. They try to make their product be digested as quickly as possible so you will be hungry again sooner (largely by pulverizing biomass before forming it into products). They add salt/sugar/fat to make their product so delicious that it is literally... (read 1261 more words →)
Is there somewhere I can sign up to get notified of all the future St Louis meetups?
Suppose my decision algorithm is: I obtain the source code of Omega and run its prediction algorithm to determine what it predicts I will do, and then do the opposite of that.
This would be kind of like the proof that the halting problem is non-computable.
Certainly perfect prediction is impossible in some cases. Look at the halting problem in computer science.
This seems like a subset of point #7 here (https://slatestarcodex.com/2016/02/20/writing-advice/)
7. Figure out who you’re trying to convince, then use the right tribal signals
I would define weirdness as emitting signals that the tribe recognizes as "other" but not "enemy". Emitting enough of the in-group signals may counteract that.
This is also reminiscent of John Gottman's empirical research on married couples where he found they were much more likely to split if the ratio of positive to negative interactions was less than 5 to 1.
This year's ACX Meetup everywhere in Las Vegas, NV.
Location: Silverado Ranch Park at one of the south pavillions with a big ACX sign – ///compiles.graduating.logged
The last time I tried to organize a meetup.com event a few RSVPed but none of them showed up. I would appreciate it if people RSVP and pinky swear that they'll actually show up if they do RSVP.
Contact: ray.jonathan.w@gmail.com
Intertemporal arbitrage: buying corn when there's a bumper crop and selling it when there's a drought. How do we get rid of that? Either time travel or giving everyone lots of storage space and prior knowledge of all the goods he will ever need and their future abundance/scarcity time series.
Price signals arising from trade are also an incentive for consuming less of / producing more of scarce things to make them less scarce. Without the incentives of prices we'd need some other way of enforcing rationing of the finite capacity of the iron mines and communicating each person's marginal utility for iron. A borg hivemind.