Thanks - FYI, I see: Sorry, the map could not be loaded. Please check the setup or contact support.
Thank you for this. Much appreciated.
I think you should make a new version of this for your website. You are now becoming more of a public figure, and better communicating your forecasting record will help make you, and outputs like AI 2027, more credible.
It's not my paper — I just wanted to share the link on LW as it seemed likely to be of interest to some people here. Thanks for the feedback, and sorry for the confusion!
In the future, there should be some organization or some group of individuals in the LW community who raise awareness about these sorts of opportunities and offer content and support to ensure submissions from the most knowledgeable and relevant actors. This seems like a very low-hanging fruit and is something several groups I know are doing.
As I understand it, there are several studies showing that it works for depression. Of course, it may be the case that this is only for people for whom anxiety caused the depression.
E.g.,
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/26718792/
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00406-024-01783-2
I recommend anyone considering SSRIs to consider Silexan. See this write-up from Scott Alexander which covers the research. Someone I know has replaced their SSRI with Silexan. Several people I know have had good experiences. The main, and not always common, side effect is lavender flavored burps. Not everyone gets it. I don't, and it wasn't bad when I did. No-one I know has had a bad experience. Overall, the downside risk appears to be relatively low.
I also strongly endorse this based on my experience. I was a research consultant who created evidence summaries for decision makers in industry and government. This usually involved searching for published content. Anything that wasn't indexed by Google Scholar/publication repositories was almost always excluded.
Yeah, I found this helpful. In general, I'd like to see more of these dialogues. I think that they do a good job of synthesing different arguments in an accessible way. I feel that's increasingly important as more arguments emerge.
As an aside, I like the way that the content goes from relatively accessible high level discussion and analogy into more specific technical detail. I think this makes it much more accessible to novice and non-technical readers.
Yeah, probably an issue with Brave Browser or similar. I don't have time to look into it more, but I am sure you can figure it out regardless. Might be worth adding a related message to the page (not sure)