All of polymathwannabe's Comments + Replies

What I wanted to tell the teacher was, "If arguments + evidence are compelling enough, you have no choice but to believe. In general, belief is not a choice." But then she'd have thrown Sartre and radical freedom at me, which would have completely missed my point.

If arguments + evidence are compelling enough, you have no choice but to believe

This is trivially true by definition of "compelling enough", and the corollary is "if she chooses not to believe, the arguments and evidence are insufficiently compelling". You have no choice but to accept THAT, right?

Your actual disagreement is whether a given set of arguments and evidence is compelling enough to believe. And this can certainly vary person to person, as you start with different priors and give different weight to evidence based on different modeling.

6Uriel Fiori
I feel like the best approach is using your position to make them question themselves. Say, pointing out that a lot of their commitments sound like religious fundamentalism or some such device. You're studying creative writing, do some creative arguing XD
2ryan_b
Lately short stories, action, and good prose. Short stories are an excellent antidote to the glut of long book series; they don't allow enough space for fluff, so I find they are consistently better reads. Also lower investment, which is nice. And good prose is good prose, like always. A year or so ago I read some of Ursula K. Le Guin's short stories, and that was when I really noticed that there were levels to the whole business. I don't recall the story, but the scene which struck me was walking down a road in the autumn. I now suspect that depicting banal events well is a mark of craft in the same way as drawing a circle or squaring an edge.

First, happy birthday. Keep shining.

Second: I'm 2 years older than you, but reading your blog feels like learning from a teacher who has advanced in the path of wisdom an unfathomable lot more than me. In my own circles I meet dull and thick PhDs all the time, so my perception of your wisdom cannot entirely be due to your having done three times the education I have.

Your writing is the most careful I know. You know when you're right, but you never come off as overconfident. Time after time, you go out of your way to try to prove yourself wrong. A... (read more)

Upon first viewing, my brain wanted to think that the empty space in the middle was the "solid thing" and that the area corresponding to the leaves was "empty."

Last night I had a similar experience while organizing my new apartment. I kept walking past this open door, and my brain kept misinterpreting the space within the frame as the "door" even though it was already open and what I was seeing was actually the wall beyond.

0MaryCh
That's because it should have been the door, dammit. ...But really, this pictureis pretty "straightforward" as they go. No other interpretation, really. Why did it tease you and me but not Elo?..

Neuropath by R. Scott Bakker. A crazy neurosurgeon dissects people's selfhood while the good guys discuss evolutionary psychology and why the whole concept of crime may be misguided. The author keeps a blog on the same ideas (https://rsbakker.wordpress.com).

At the barest minimum, your birth certificate (and associated papers that prove your relatedness to people you hope to inherit from), your high school diploma (unless you already have a university degree AND don't intend to pursue another one), and any vitally important medical records.

0g_pepper
Thanks - I enjoyed the story. It was short but prescient. The article that inspired it was interesting as well.

I missed the reason why LW no longer has bragging threads, so allow me to brag here about my first published story in English at Antimatter Magazine.

0ChristianKl
The person who created the last thread didn't bother to create a new one. If you think there should be a new one, there no reason not to start it.
0g_pepper
Congratulations! Which story is yours? (The link just points to the home page.)

Unfortunately I don't travel much (although there's a 50/50 chance I'll move to Boston later this year), but you can find me on Facebook as carturo222.

ARARRRARGGGGHHH why do I only see this now.

Do you have any plans to come visit again?

0jpulgarin
Sorry :/, it was my fault for posting it at such short notice. No one else came. There's a chance I'll be back in Bogota during the first week of March. If so, I'll make sure to post it with a bit more notice. Do you go to Medellin every once in a while? I'm thinking of starting a regular meetup here.

I happen to be working on that at the office. Here is a snapshot of the opinion landscape (all from PubMed):

Iwamoto J. Vitamin K₂ therapy for postmenopausal osteoporosis. Nutrients. 2014 May 16;6(5):1971-80.

DiNicolantonio JJ, Bhutani J, O'Keefe JH. The health benefits of vitamin K. Open Heart. 2015 Oct 6;2(1):e000300.

Huang ZB, Wan SL, Lu YJ, Ning L, Liu C, Fan SW. Does vitamin K2 play a role in the prevention and treatment of osteoporosis for postmenopausal women: a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials. Osteoporos Int. 2015 Mar;26(3):1175-86.

Falco... (read more)

0hg00
What's the best quantity/form to supplement it in? (In your opinion.) Some guy on Amazon compared a bunch of K2 supplements and recommended this one, but it has worrisome negative reviews.
0[anonymous]
Can you save me the time of having to form my own opinion by giving me yours? :P

NRx emerged from some of the ideas that also coalesced into LW, but their aims couldn't be more different. A core item of the LW philosophy is altruism; NRx is systematized hatred.

Also, it being on Breitbart should be enough indication that its version of events is not to be trusted.

8ZankerH
Am NRx, this assertion is false.

I'm halfway through Italo Calvino's Cosmicomics. They're science-based creation myths, and they're breathtaking.

Elo has 145 negative votes for the past month. This is getting ridiculous. What's Eugine trying to prove?

6skeptical_lurker
To say something somewhat controversial, while I disprove of Eugine's mass downvoteing, it really isn't that bad compared to the standard of discourse and dirty tactics used elsewhere. On reddit the site admins have allegedly been altering the votes and engaging in censorship; there has also been doxing and blackmail. Offline you could be fired, beaten up, or even, in extremis, killed for having the wrong political views, and I'm not just talking about people who live in a warzone or North Korea - the same thing does happen, albeit less frequently, in the US or UK. I think Eugine thinks he is just trying to go tit for tat against the left. This isn't a justification I agree with - I think LW should be held to a higher standard than reddit - but I can see how it would make sense from his point of view.

It's worse than that.

Right now his last-30-days figure is -131. But his votes are at 37% positive, not 0%. That means he's actually on something like +187-318 in the last 30 days.

I wouldn't say "getting ridiculous", though. Eugine has been doing the same to me for months.

4username2
I have no idea, but I think it has more to do with his personal rage than anything strategic, because I don't see what exactly can you achieve by such a blatantly obvious behaviour.
4knb
He's probably just crazy.

To illustrate the topic I wish to present, I'll quote a review for Harry Potter and the Cursed Child, which complains that

In Rowling’s novels, characters deliver a mix of clever repartee and thudding exposition. Here Thorne [...] defaults to the latter. The result is a play that fails to utilize the most elementary of playwright’s tools: subtext. Characters say exactly what they feel, explain exactly what is happening, and warn about what they’re going to do before they do it.

My everyday failure to handle indirect statements may relate to this (as well... (read more)

0Viliam
Maybe it's easier to perceive the subtext when you are an average human interacting with average humans. Then the inferential distances are much smaller, so it is easier to guess each other's thoughts.
2skeptical_lurker
Subtext is harder to understand than communicating clearly, and so subtext can be enjoyable and signal intelligence in the same way that playing chess is more fun and shows more intelligence than playing tic-tac-toe. I far prefer subtext in a story to in real life. In a story the worst thing that can happen is for you to beleive that 'animal farm' really is about a bunch of animals. In real life the worst that can happen is that the pilot doesn't realise that when the navigator says 'the weather radar certainly is useful' the subtext is that the weather is too sever to fly in, and promptly flies the plane into a mountain. This actually happened.
0MrMind
Possibly, yes. Humans have evolved to account for a lot of subtexts, often in the form of theory of mind and empathy. It's considered poor form in a novel (as per the "show, don't tell" motto); I guess in a play, where you can visibly see emotions in the actors' faces, it's even more redundant and dull.
4ChristianKl
Have you spent time with people practicing Radical Honesty? I didn't get how it worked from reading articles about it but in practice the folks in that community are quite nice.

Harry Potter and the Cursed Child is available now. I devoured the script in four hours and I will only say: it's powerful and beautiful.

Example: election campaign promises should be enforceable upon victory.

0ChristianKl
Why should they? If you want to have votes decide over specific issues instead of deciding about candidates during a referendum on the issue is a lot more straightforward.

I'm happy to have found minimal music. It reflects perfectly the way my head sounds on the inside. Main examples:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kAzhzEjkdcI

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zLckHHc25ww

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PbBkdYCViLs

Added to my Amazon wish list. Do you know of any other books one should be aware of?

2iarwain1
I really like Sean Carroll's The Big Picture as an intro to rationality and naturalism for the general public. It covers pretty much all the topics in RfAItZ, along with several others (esp. physics stuff). It's shorter and a lot less technical than RfAItZ, but it's readable and I thought it does a good job of laying out the basic perspectives.
4Manfred
There's probably some books by Dan Dennett that the LW articles that deal with philosophy of mind drew from, but I've mostly been exposed to Dennett through articles, like Intentional Systems and Eliminate the Middletoad! On evolution, essential reading is The Selfish Gene. On heuristics and biases, Thinking Fast and Slow (the first half, at least), and Dan Ariely's books are good reads. I'm not aware of anything similar to the sequences in terms of intersection of Bayesianism, heuristics and biases, and trying to teach how to think about confusing things. Unfortunately.

Those stories are not about something other than themselves and the rules/process/structure of storytelling. I felt they could match your request for something sufficiently meta.

Cabin in the Woods? Stranger than Fiction? Funny Games?

0[anonymous]
...I was probably wrong(?); could you explain what you mean, please?

Some months ago someone mentioned a chat website that tracked arguments in syllogism form to help people organize their debates. Does anyone remember what it was called?

LW orthodoxy, in so far as there is such a thing, says to choose SPECKS over TORTURE

No, Eliezer and Hanson are anti-specks.

6gjm
Wow, did I really write that? It's the exact opposite of what I meant. Will fix.

Is there a way we can discuss civilizational issues without becoming mind-killed?

A LWer created Omnilibrium for that.

6Viliam
Any results? (I am personally unimpressed by the few random links I have seen.)

On how whether grains vs. roots were eaten may have determined the success of ancient civilizations.

I think a fine line needs to be walked when addressing Gleb, if only because he evidently has media visibility skills that could be useful for the community if he were less misguided.

Personally, I tend to parse them as "Look how cynical and worldly-wise I am, how able I am to see through people's pretences to their ugly true motivations. Aren't I clever and edgy?".

That's exactly how Hanson sounds to me, and why I tend to read his blog less often now.

9gjm
Overcoming Bias is not about overcoming bias.

I always delete permanently. But every detail is still in my head.

0entirelyuseless
I also delete permanently, but I back up with CrashPlan, so anything on my computer for a few days would be backed up automatically. I've recovered small things occasionally using it, and one occasion even a 1TB hard drive that failed.
0WalterL
Oh well, that's rough. Still, at least since you remember it you can get it back up and on track again next weekend, if you want to.

This past week gave me an example of my bipolar disorder in action.

A TV company announced they were open to story proposals. After a few weeks without ideas, I managed to come up with a story that sounded interesting to me. I spent the better part of a weekend at home writing the beginning of a plot outline, and felt extremely excited.

Then the week started and normal life resumed, and after the commute back home I didn't feel like writing anything. A few days later I deleted the folder I had created. I no longer saw any potential in it.

Part of the reason I... (read more)

2WalterL
If you just deleted it it might still be in your trash can, ready to be brought back.
4Gleb_Tsipursky
Three thoughts. First, evaluate your broader activities, and see where you have the right balance of big projects and small ones. If you're unsatisfied with the balance, do more big projects. Second, explore collaborations with others. You can often go further together with others, and it would help address the bipolar swings through others providing more stability during down swings. Of course, make sure the "other" in this case is pretty stable. Third, create a trigger action plan of noticing when you're about to sacrifice projects. Stop and evaluate whether you're doing the right move for your long-term goals.
0username2
Maybe because big projects mean big risk since 1) lots of effort might lead nowhere and 2) you don't have time to do other small risk small reward projects. Maybe your level of risk aversion fluctuates?
4RowanE
She fangirls over the remake? I've never heard the remake described as anything other than some variant of "lifeless", especially from fans of classic Sailor Moon. EDIT: Forgot it was the positivity thread for a second, let me have another go at that: So I guess maybe I should have another go at the remake! I actually really like being convinced to like a show I was previously "meh" about. Some shows it's more fun to get a hateboner/kismesis thing going for, but Sailor Moon Crystal isn't one of them.
2Viliam
Oh my! Anime series, films, anime remake, live-action series, musicals. Quite popular.

Aurora Peachy is a huge Sailor Moon fangirl and watching her get so excited for every episode always melts my heart.

2Viliam
Fascinating! Almost made me watch the series... except that I already did, and didn't have the same reaction. Not bad, though.

Don't apologize. I've been waiting for weeks for someone to complain, to make sure that it wasn't just me who felt this was an actual problem.

8[anonymous]
Evaporative cooling. Since LW now seems to have less of the stuff that made LW unique, and more Other Internet Stuff, I've been browsing LW less often.

There was a similar post a while ago about the concept of small identities.

0[anonymous]
Thank you so much! A friend of mine has a thing about Cassandra, she'll love it.

Big news for visibility: Sam Harris is preparing a book co-written with Eliezer (starting at minute 51 of podcast).

0username2
Personally I think that Eliezer Yudkowsky should find a different co-author since Sam Harris isn't related to AI or AGI in any way and I am not sure how much can he contribute.

I sometimes call myself a progressivist. I don't think communism is immoral---I see totalitarianism as the thing which is immoral, and you can have totalitarianism with or without a market economy; e.g. Latin American dictatorships that murdered hundreds of protesters while remaining very business-friendly.

You think wars should be abolished. Good. Then why did you include pacifism in the immoral category?

0AlwaysUnite
Pacifism is the disavowing of all violence, even if it is used proportionally and in self-defense. This only works in cases where the power difference between parties is so huge that violence is not necessary for ending conflict (Ghandi's India for example). This is hardly ever the case. If the goal is to limit the total amount of violence (and therefore self-inflicted suffering) a limited form of violence is still necessary to keep abusers of the social contract in check. But as individual and groups of countries have already shown, it is possible for human societies to be peaceful without war. The police may have to restrain individuals but wars are not necessary.
0OrphanWilde
I would never initiate a fight; that would be, simply, evil. But I'll kill somebody without hesitation or guilt who starts a fight with me, and more, think somebody who meekly responds to violence by meeting the demands of the violent is encouraging and creating violence. As a society, we cannot cooperate with defectors. People who cooperate with defectors enable and encourage defection. Likewise on a global scale.
0Lumifer
The correct question to ask is whether you can have communism without totalitarianism.

You believe communism, libertarianism, anarchism, ethical egoism, pacifism and realist philosophy of war are all immoral. What are you?

-1AlwaysUnite
A social democrat who thinks wars should be abolished. It is not as if communism, libertarianism and anarchism are the only philosophies in the world right?

At age 17 I had the common experience of dreaming of my recently deceased mother, but my brain didn't take long to realize that seeing her was not possible, and I realized it was a dream. For some years I kept that ability to quickly see the inconsistencies in the dream world, but as of now my asleep brain is back to normal gullibility. Because I have a strong preference for living in the real world, I very strongly (verbally, actually) forbade my mind from showing me my dead mother again, and it obeyed.

My roommate died from cancer 3 years ago. It never stops being a sad memory, except that the hard pang of the initial shock is gone after some time. I don't feel guilty for no longer feeling that pang, because I know I still wish it hadn't happened and it still marked my life in several ways, so I haven't stopped doing what I privately call "honoring my pain." The usual feel-good advice of forgetting it all and moving on sounds to me as dangerously close to no longer honoring my pain, by which I mean acknowledging that the sad event occurred, and... (read more)

Create a moral framework that incentivizes assholes to cooperate.

So, capitalism?

There's the burden of proof thing (it's the affirmer, not the denier, who has to present evidence) and the null hypothesis thing (in absence of evidence, the no-effect or no-relationship hypothesis stands).

0Brillyant
I'm not trying to prove anything. I'm asking specifically about the process people who are smarter than I use to rule a proposition out.

Unfortunately recording was not possible, but the slideshow is here. You have to download it and view it on LibreOffice; it does not look good on Google Slides.

0Gleb_Tsipursky
Cool, thanks!

Apparently, there's a case for detonating more nukes around the world.

I understand aji as potential for future moves that is currently not too usable but may be after the board configuration has evolved.

0ChristianKl
It goes in that direction but moves don't have to be used directly to constrain movements elsewhere on the board. When playing around with Fold.it there was a similar scenario. It's often possible to run a script to get a higher local maxima. However that made the fold more "rigid". The experienced folders did only run the script to search the local maximas at the end when they manually did everything that could be done. With my usage of Go vocabulary running the script to optimize locally beforehand would also be a case of aji-keshi. Aji is for me a phenomological primitive that I learned while playing Go and that I can use outside of Go but which doesn't have an existing English or German word.
0Vaniver
The way I think about aji is something fragile on a ledge--sure, it's safe now, but as things shift around, it may suddenly become unsafe.
0Viliam
The first two links seems mostly about how science influences culture. The third one seems like what I wanted; too bad that the Wikipedia page doesn't contain any conclusions of that research.
0ChristianKl
The last Wikipedia article has to be written by a cynic:
Load More