The two key predictions that you make in your “Wild Century” blog series, as I understand it, are:
an AI that will be able to do the process of scientific inquiry (much) better and faster than humans, leading to a productivity explosion, and super-fundamental societal change
digital people/mind-uploading
…this century (plausibly).
These feel much bigger/wilder/more dramatic/more fundamental than the examples given here. This makes me a bit sceptical of how useful the evidence (entertainingly and fascinatingly) assembled in this post is.
Thank you for the interesting post, Holden!
The two key predictions that you make in your “Wild Century” blog series, as I understand it, are:
an AI that will be able to do the process of scientific inquiry (much) better and faster than humans, leading to a productivity explosion, and super-fundamental societal change
digital people/mind-uploading
…this century (plausibly).
These feel much bigger/wilder/more dramatic/more fundamental than the examples given here. This makes me a bit sceptical of how useful the evidence (entertainingly and fascinatingly) assembled in this post is.