Sinityy
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If the goal is maximizing skill at writing, one should use LLMs a lot. What you wrote about likely failure modes of doing so is true, but not an inevitable outcome. If Language Models are useful tools for writing, avoiding their use due to concerns about being unable to handle them is a mistake regardless of whether these concerns are warranted. Why?
if you're trying to make a splash with your writing, you need to meet a much higher bar than the average person
Having aptitude necessary to "make a splash" is very rare. Not taking chances probably means one won't reach the top. Especially if competent LLM use raises the ceiling of human capability.
Note that by competent use I mean something like cyborgism: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/bxt7uCiHam4QXrQAA/cyborgism
“cyborgs”, a specific kind of human-in-the-loop system which enhances and extends a human operator’s cognitive abilities without relying on outsourcing work to autonomous agents
there are various proposals (not from Tyler!) for ‘succession,’ of passing control over to the AIs intentionally, either because people prefer it (as many do!) or because it is inevitable regardless so managing it would help it go better. I have yet to see such a proposal that has much chance of not bringing about human extinction, or that I expect to meaningfully preserve value in the universe. As I usually say, if this is your plan, Please Speak Directly Into the Microphone.
[Meditations on Moloch](https://slatestarcodex.com/2014/07/30/meditations-on-moloch)
... (read more)I am a transhumanist and I really do want to rule the universe.
Not personally – I mean, I wouldn’t object if someone personally offered me the job, but
@gwern wrote am explanation why this is surprising (for some) [here](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/Mo7qnNZA7j4xgyJXq/sam-altman-open-ai-discussion-thread?commentId=CAfNAjLo6Fy3eDwH3)
... (read 663 more words →)Open Philanthropy (OP) only had that board seat and made a donation because Altman invited them to, and he could personally have covered the $30m or whatever OP donated for the seat [...] He thought up, drafted, and oversaw the entire for-profit thing in the first place, including all provisions related to board control. He voted for all the board members, filling it back up from when it was just him (& Greg Brockman at one point IIRC). He then oversaw and drafted all of the contracts with MS and others, while running the for-profit and eschewing equity in the for-profit. He
That is not an argument against “the robots taking over,” or that AI does not generally pose an existential threat. It is a statement that we should ignore that threat, on principle, until the dangers ‘reveal themselves,’ with the implicit assumption that this requires the threats to actually start happening.
A lot of people will end up falling in love with chatbot personas, with the result that they will become uninterested in dating real people, being happy just to talk to their chatbot.
Good. If substantial number of men do this, dating market will become more tolerable, presumably.
Especially in some countries, where there are absurd demographic imbalances. Some stats from Poland, compared with Ireland (pics are translated using some online util, so they look a bit off):
What about singles? 18-30 age bracket, men on the left side, women on the right side. Blue=singles, orange=relationship, gray=marriage.... (read more)
Maybe GPT-3 could be used to find LW content related to the new post, using something like this: https://gpt-index.readthedocs.io
Unfortunately, I didn't get around to doing anything with it yet. But it seems useful: https://twitter.com/s_jobs6/status/1619063620104761344
You can convert money into height, through limb lengthening surgery. About $50K USD for additional 8cm in Europe. Double (or close) that price for the US. Also the process takes 1-1.5 years (lengthening alone - about 3m).
For a more realistic example, consider the DNA sequence for smallpox: I'd definitely rather that nobody knew it, than that people could with some effort find out, even though I don't expect being exposed to that quoted DNA information to harm my own thought processes.
...is it weird that I saved it in a text file? I'm not entirely sure if I've got the correct sequence tho. Just, when I learned that it is available, I couldn't not do it.
My result, GPT-5 Pro
Also, I asked GPT-5 Pro to judge the text against several others (including "The Scaling Hypothesis" and "Meditations on Moloch") + infer things about the authors. It judged it is the best one. Lol. I wonder whether it inferred I'm the author (well, the prompter more accurately). Nothing it said it inferred about me is correct except for age, just barely. Or maybe that's because it was the generator. But it also judged Claude 3.7's output pretty well when I tried it.
It is about 200kb of AI slop. 0th_md started as me just asking 3.7 Sonnet to write something based on several sources.
... (read 448 more words →)