(Creating more visibility for a comment thread with Rohin Shah.)
Currently, DeepMind's capabilities evals are run on the post-RL*F (RLHF/RLAIF) models and not on the base models. This worries me because RL*F will train a base model to stop displaying capabilities, but this isn't a guarantee that it trains the model out of having the capabilities.
Consider by analogy using RLHF on a chess-playing AI, where the trainers reward it for putting up a good fight and making the trainer work hard to win, but punish it for ever beating the trainer. There are two things to point out about this example:
- Running a simple eval on the post-RLHF model would reveal a much lower ELO than if you ran it on the base model, because it would generally find a way to lose. (In this example, you can imagine the red team qualitatively noticing the issue, but the example is an artificially simple one!)
- The post-RLHF model still has much of its chess knowledge latently available, in order to put up a good fight across the full range of human ability. Possibly it's even superhuman at chess—I know I'd have to be better than you at chess in order to optimize well for an entertaining game for you. But that won't show up in its ELO.
So it seems to me like running evals on the base model as well as the post-RL*F model is an extremely sensible precaution against (1), and I'd love to be reassured either that this is unnecessary for some really obvious and ironclad reason, or that someone is already working on this.
And I don't have any good suggestion on (2), the idea that RL*F could reinforce a capability while also concealing it.
I agree, and one of the reasons I endorse this strongly: there's a difference between performance at a task in a completion format and a chat format[1].
Chess, for instance, is most commonly represented in the training data in PGN format - and prompting it with something that's similar should elicit whatever capabilities it possesses more strongly than transferring them over to another format.
I think this should generalize pretty well across more capabilities - if you expect the bulk of the capability to come from pre-training, then I think you should also expect these capabilities to be most salient in completion formats.
Everything in a language model is technically in completion format all the time, but the distinction I want to draw here is related to tasks that are closest to the training data (and therefore closest to what powerful models are superhuman at). Models are superhuman at next-token prediction, and inasmuch as many examples of capabilities in the training data are given in prose as opposed to a chat format (for example, chess), you should expect those capabilities to be most salient in the former.