I laughed: SMBC comic.
I laughed: SMBC comic.
SMBC comic: poorly programmed average-utility-maximizing AI
It's a total-utility maximising AI.
if it was a total utility maximizing AI it would clone the utility monster (or start cloning everyone else if the utility monster is super linear) edit: on the other hand, if it was average utility maximizing AI it would kill everyone else leaving just the utility monster. In any case there'd be some serious population 'adjustment'.
Felix means happy (or lucky), and is the origin of the word felicity. It took me a while to realize this, so I thought I would note it. Is it obvious for all native English speakers?
The latest SMBC comic is now an illustrated children's story which more or less brings up parallel thoughts to Cynical about Cynicism.
Everyone's talking about this as if it was a hypothetical, but as far as I can tell it describes pretty accurately how hierarchical human civilizations tend to organize themselves once they hit a certain size. Isn't a divine ruler precisely someone who is more deserving and more able to absorb resources? Aren't the lower orders people who would not appreciate luxuries and indeed have fully internalized such a fact ("Not for the likes of me")
If you skip the equality requirement, it seems history is full of utilitarian societies.
Felix is 3^^^3 units happy. And no dust speck in his eyes. What is torturing millions for this noble goal?
I, of course, reject that "sequence" which preaches exactly this.
That's because your brain doesn't have the ability to imagine just how happy Felix is and fails to weigh his actual happiness against humanity's.
Look. You have one person, under terrible torture for 50 years on one side and a gazillion of people with a slight discomfort every year or so on the other side.
It is claimed that the first is better.
Now, you have a small humanity as is, only enslaved for pyramid building for Felix. He has eons of subjective time to enjoy this pyramids and he is unbelievably happy. More happy than any man, woman or child could ever be. The amount of happiness of Felix outweights the misery of billion of people by a factor of a million.
What's the fundamental difference between those two cases? I don't see it, do you?
The only similarity between those cases is that they involve utility calculations you disagree with. Otherwise every single detail is completely different. (e. g. the sort of utility considered, two negative utilities being traded against each other vs. trading utility elsewhere (positive and negative) for positive utility, which side of the trade the single person with the large individual utility difference is on, the presence of perverse incentives, etc, etc).
If anything it would be more logical to equate Felix with the tortured person and treat this as a reductio ad absurdum of your position on the dust speck problem. (But that would be wrong too, since the numbers aren't actually the problem with Felix, the fact that there's an incentive to manipulate your own utility function that way is (among other things).)
Well, it's still a fun Fermi calculation problem, anyway.
Let's see, the Pyramids have been the targets of tourism since at least the original catalogue of wonders of the ancient world, Antipater of Sidon ~140 BC which includes "the great man-made mountains of the lofty pyramids". So that's ~2150 years of tourism (2012+140). Quickly checking, Wikipedia says 12.8 million people visited Egypt for tourism in 2008, but surely not all of them visited the pyramids? Let's halve it to 6 million.
Let's pretend Egyptian tourism followed a linear growth between 140 BC with one visitor (Antipater) and 6 million in 2012 (yes, world population & wealth has grown and so you'd expect tourism to grow a lot, but Egypt has been pretty chaotic recently), over 2150 years. We can just average that to 3 million a year, which gives us a silly total number of tourists of 2150 * 3 million or 6.45 billion visitors.
There are 138 pyramids, WP says, with the Great Pyramid estimated at 100,000 workers. Let's halve it (again with the assumptions!) at 50k workers a pyramid, 50,000 * 138 = 6.9m workers total.
This gives us the visitor:worker ratio of 6.45b:6.9m, or 21,500:23, or 934.8:1.
And of course the pyramids are still there, so whatever the real ratio, it's getting better (modulo issues of maintenance and restoration).
The first approximation which springs in my mind would be an exponential growth rather than a linear one.