I have noticed that the term 'nihilism' has quite a few different connotations. I do not know that it is a coincidence. Reputedly, the most popular connotation, and in my opinion, the least well-defined, is existential nihilism, 'the philosophical theory that life has no intrinsic meaning or value.' I think that most LessWrong users would agree that there is no intrinsic meaning or value, but also that they would argue that there is a contingent meaning or value, and that the absence of such intrinsic meaning or value is no justification to be a generally insufferable person.
There is also the slightly similar but perhaps more well-defined moral nihilism; epistemological nihilism; and the not-unrelated fatalism.
Here, it goes without saying that each of these positions is wrong.
If we want to make sense of the claim that physics is better at predicting than social science is, we have to work harder to explicate what it might mean. One possible way of explicating the claim is that when one says that physics is better at predicting than social science one might mean that experts in physics have a greater advantage over non‐experts in predicting interesting things in the domain of physics than experts in social science have over non‐experts in predicting interesting things in the domain of social science. This is still very imprecise since it relies on an undefined concept of “interesting things”. Yet the explication does at least draw attention to one aspect of the idea of predictability that is relevant in the context of public policy, namely the extent to which research and expertise can improve our ability to predict. The usefulness of ELSI‐funded activities might depend not on the absolute obtainable degree of predictability of technological innovation and social outcomes but on how much improvement in predictive ability these activities will produce. Let us hence set aside the following unhelpful question:"Is the future of science or technological innovation predictable?"A better question would be,"How predictable are various aspects of the future of science or technological innovation?"But often, we will get more mileage out of asking,"How much more predictable can (a certain aspect of) the future of science or technologicalinnovations become if we devote a certain amount of resources to study it?"Or better still:"Which particular inquiries would do most to improve our ability to predict those aspects of the future of S&T that we most need to know about in advance?"Pursuit of this question could lead us to explore many interesting avenues of research which might result in improved means of obtaining foresight about S&T developments and their policy consequences.Crow and Sarewitz, however, wishing to side‐step the question about predictability, claim that it is “irrelevant”:"preparation for the future obviously does not require accurate prediction; rather, it requires a foundation of knowledge upon which to base action, a capacity to learn from experience, close attention to what is going on in the present, and healthy and resilient institutions that can effectively respond or adapt to change in a timely manner."This answer is too quick. Each of the elements they mention as required for the preparation for the future relies in some way on accurate prediction. A capacity to learn from experience is not useful for preparing for the future unless we can correctly assume (predict) that the lessons we derive from the past will be applicable to future situations. Close attention to what is going on in the present is likewise futile unless we can assume that what is going on in the present will reveal stable trends or otherwise shed light on what is likely to happen next. It also requires prediction to figure out what kind of institutions will prove healthy, resilient, and effective in responding or adapting to future changes. Predicting the future quality and behavior of institutions that we create today is not an exact science.
If it's a giving up, it's a giving up on a conceptual confusion about a real thing that one has set a nonsensical standard for.
Daniel Dennett quotes from "Net of Magic", by Lee Siegel
Quote from book:
Dennett:
For many, real morality, real free will, real knowledge is some conceptual gibberish. The morality, free will, and knowledge that actually exists is rejected as not real morality, free will, and knowledge.
The kind of nihilist you describe is the one who has rejected the existence of "real" magic in his mind, but has not given it up in his heart, his valuations. His mind knows he can't have real magic, it has "given up" on real magic, but his heart still yearns for it, still judges the magic that actually exists as lesser, as not real magic. Real magic is felt to be shinier and fluffier and altogether better than the magic that actually exists, that's the one he wants, but knows that he can't have.
Hence that sense of futility and impotence you sense in them.
(I've never met anyone who calls himself a philosophical nihilist who fulfills this trope of the "fatalist nihilist". This imagined villain seems to live mainly in the mind of the believers in real magic, next door to the "misanthropic egoist".)