(Epistemic) rationality has two major components:
- Smarts: An ability to, by attending, infer truth from info under ideal circumstances.
- Toughness: An ability to limit performance degradation as circumstances worsen.
Attending takes time, energy, quiet, etc. Circumstances where human rationality degrades include when:
- We expect the truth to long remain hidden.
- The stakes are very low, or very high, to us.
- Others see our opinions, and prefer certain ones.
- The topics are where humans oft self-deceive.
It seems relatively easy to test rationality smarts; repeatedly give folks info and time to work new problems and measure their accuracy, calibration, etc. And I have an idea for testing for rationality toughness: compare performance on info-similar pairs of good/bad-circumstance problems.
For example, assume people are better at evaluating if a spouse is cheating when considering an acquaintance in their social circle, relative to a stranger or their own spouse. If so, we could pose them a pair of problems with very similar info structure, one with an easy spouse and one with a hard spouse. The closeness of their response in these two cases would then be a measure of their rationality toughness.
Of course this test may fail if the similarity is too obvious, or the pair are asked too closely in time. But maybe we don't even need to ask the same person the two questions; perhaps we could usefully compare someone's answer on a hard question to answers from a pool of similar people on matched easy questions.
While I haven't thought this through, it already suggests a training technique: consider matched hard/easy circumstance problems and compare your answers, separated by enough time that you forget most of your previous analysis.
I was very interested to read your views on why humans choke. I was thinking about this the other day in relation to a question posed by a professor. What I came up with at the time was that choking is caused by sympathetic fight or flight response (adaptive in less cognitively complex organisms but not in our human world where finesse is necessary). In other words, I was suggesting it is a misfire that is so deeply rooted in our mental architecture we haven't managed to evolve out of it yet. Also, I wonder, are there examples of non-human animals "choking"?
Edit: I meant "choking" in the sense of failing during high pressure situations. I was referring to Robin Hanson's second link ( to an OB post). Sorry for any confusion.
There is evidence of something similar to choking among other species, including rats and cockroaches. Social psychologists have found that the presence of others tends to make people do better on easy or well-practiced and worse on difficult, complex tasks, and these effects have been found among cockroaches running through easy or difficult mazes. They call this effect social facilitation.