Prediction Markets

Applied to Carlo: uncertainty analysis in Google Sheets by ProbabilityEnjoyer 2mo ago

Applied to Simple Kelly betting in prediction markets by Raemon 2mo ago

Applied to Self-Resolving Prediction Markets by jacobjacob 2mo ago

Applied to Conditional prediction markets are evidential, not causal by philh 3mo ago

Applied to Running a Prediction Market Mafia Game by Arjun Panickssery 3mo ago

Applied to Why have insurance markets succeeded where prediction markets have not? by kave 3mo ago

Applied to Hiring decisions are not suitable for prediction markets by jacobjacob 4mo ago

Applied to Are Metaculus AI Timelines Inconsistent? by Chris_Leong 4mo ago

Applied to Link Collection: Impact Markets by Saul Munn 4mo ago

Applied to Prediction Markets aren't Magic by RobertM 4mo ago

Applied to Predicting the future with the power of the Internet (and pissing off Rob Miles) by Writer 5mo ago

Applied to When will GPT-5 come out? Prediction markets vs. Extrapolation by Malte 5mo ago

Applied to Please Bet On My Quantified Self Decision Markets by niplav 5mo ago

Applied to Solving Two-Sided Adverse Selection with Prediction Market Matchmaking by Saul Munn 5mo ago

Applied to Betting on what is un-falsifiable and un-verifiable by Abhimanyu Pallavi Sudhir 6mo ago

Applied to Zvi's Manifold Markets House Rules by Multicore 6mo ago

Applied to Prediction markets covered in the NYT podcast “Hard Fork” by MondSemmel 7mo ago

Applied to OPTIC: Announcing Intercollegiate Forecasting Tournaments in SF, DC, Boston by Saul Munn 7mo ago

Applied to Impacts of AI on the housing markets by PottedRosePetal 7mo ago