All of A1987dM's Comments + Replies
True, their impact on daily life isn’t necessarily obvious if you’re living in a superpower protected by its nuclear umbrella (someone in Ukraine might feel differently).
Is nuclear deterrence actually still a thing at all? Has any conflict in the past quarter century or so played out any differently than would have if on 1 January 2000 aliens had permanently taken away humanity's ability to use nuclear weapons?
> Imprisoning someone for one year in the USA costs in the order of 100,000 dollars
There surely must be some way to decrease that by *at least* a factor of 4 or so, possibly by an order of magnitude, if we wanted to? (The poverty line for a 8-person household in the contiguous US in 2025 is $54,150.) Surely that might involve treating prisoners in rather questionable ways, but still way less questionable than f---ing killing them, IMO.
Another objection I have is that [waaay too many things are considered crimes that shouldn't be](https://archive.org/details/threefeloniesday0000silv) -- what fraction of people in prison are there for reasons comparable to any of your examples?
And then some people felt like they still wanted to do research on what the original ambition of AI had been, and wanted a term that'd distinguish them from all the other people who said they were doing "AI".
And then at some point all the latter people switched to saying "machine learning" instead.
(not necessarily -- glycerol, glycine and many fats are achiral, so the nutritional value of non-mirror food to mirror heterotrophs wouldn't be quite zero)
And molds are heterotrophic too -- mirror molds would starve to death unless they found mirror carbs or mirror proteins to eat, right?
BTW FWIW mirror viruses wouldn't be all that harmful to humans, as they cannot replicate or do much of anything else except if they infect mirror cells
some kind of magical ritual, like signs against the evil eye or something
What's wrong with those? FWIW the only reason I didn't perform my country's favorite apotropaic gesture upon reading this story is that it didn't occurr to me
200-person scam center
The content of the article at the other end of that link is the kind of stuff I would dislike in a work of fiction for being too on the nose
Well, it is extremely unlikely to actually help, but it's not like it will hurt either, and it doesn't cost anything, so why not? Even if it's just the literary analog of knocking on wood or whatever, what's wrong with that? At least, unlike literally knocking on wood, this does have at least a notional action mechanism...
(well, I guess knocking on wood must have had a notional action mechanism at first, but I can't be bothered to look that up)
In Richard Owen's place I would have called them "dragons" rather than "dinosaurs". I mean, we didn't rename atoms once we found out they didn't look much like Democritus or Dalton imagined them and the etymological meaning of their name doesn't actually apply to them...
Yes (though OTOH conversely there are also things that many Europeans struggle to afford but Americans take for granted, e.g. air conditioning)
Note that there are plenty of things that count as "working hours" when white-collar workers do them but not when blue-collar workers do them.
Yep, the first thing I thought after reading "this isn't actually possible to achieve in the real world" was "Yes it is! See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Highway_hypnosis, or that time I played in a concert while blackout drunk and I can only actually remember playing half of the set list." The second thing I thought was "But did I actually have no qualia, or do I just not remember them?" The third thing I thought was "Is there any way I could possibly tell, even in principle? If there isn't, doesn't that mean that there's no actual difference between qualia and the formation of memories of qualia?"
1
1Am I the only one who, upon reading the title, wondered "do they mean arguments that conscious AIs would be better than unconscious AIs, or do they mean arguments that existing AIs are conscious?"
Would you apply that to other examples of loss leaders too? When I buy a Ryanair ticket with no priority boarding, a randomly assigned seat and no luggage and don't buy anything on the plane, should I feel guilty because if everybody paid as little as me the flight wouldn't be net profitable for Ryanair? If not, what's the difference?
I would instead choose a relatively light ‘this is not allowed’ where in practice we mostly look the other way
That is very seldom a good idea, for reasons detailed in https://siderea.dreamwidth.org/1209794.html (if euthanasia is outlawed, only outlaws will euthanize their patients) https://www.unqualified-reservations.org/2007/04/formalist-manifesto-originally-posted/ (any circumstance where the actual norms don't match the ostensible norms can lead to uncertainty and/or disagreements on what exactly the former are, and you don't want that)
Multiplying all this together gets you to a 1 in 80 million chance of all this stuff happening under the null hypothesis, which is highly significant.
Not until you work out the chance of all this stuff happening under alternate hypotheses, and the prior probabilities of alternate hypotheses, and the prior probability of the null hypothesis.
(I asked random.org for 10 random bytes and I got 02 c8 c2 30 60 b3 2e 93 a6 e9 . The chance of this happening under the null hypothesis is 1 in 1.2×10^24
"Being a physicist is a drag, but it still beats working" (Aurelio Grillo as quoted by Giorgio Parisi, translation from Italian mine)
I'm almost sure Sumerian had words for "artificial" and for "intelligence".
"Paracetamol" on the other hand... :-)
I'm almost sure I saw a Wikipedia article about this back in the mid 2000s with a 2D version of your plot, but I can't find anything relevant in either https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_fallacies#Statistical_fallacies or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_paradoxes#Statistics ... did I just dream of it?
(it's hard to get curtains that block direct sunlight that well).
[These things](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Stellladen_Roll_fcm.jpg) are pretty much ubiquitous in Italy in buildings since circa 1970s, and [these ones](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Villa_Olmi_K.jpg) (which are somewhat less effective but still way better than a curtain) in earlier buildings.
I dunno... IME, when someone not capable of steelmanning him reads e.g. David Icke, what usually happens is that they just think he must be crazy or something and dismiss him out of hand, not that they start believing in literal reptilian humanoids.
The ToC makes it looks like "blood donations" and "exercise" are among "things that will eventually kill you"...
(Not sure whether $50/day allows you to do this in San Francisco, but:) Live within walking/cycling distance of work, grocery stores, nightlife, museums, etc. so you won't have to drive a car every day.
Yeah, I often refuse giving people money for something I don't care about even if the impact of that on my wealth would be negligible just in order to not reward them.
98.: I don't think the link points where you wanted it to point
My guess would be that:
- the direct biological harms of alcohol are roughly linear, i.e. one drink a week is about 1/7 as harmful as seven drinks a week, which in turn is about 1/7 as harmful as forty-nine drinks a week;
- the psychologically mediated benefits of alcohol (through reduced anxiety, improved socialization, etc.) quickly rise up to a few drinks a day, then plateau (and even reverse at very high doses)
- when you subtract something like atan(x) from a straight line you may or may not get a minimum at x slightly greater than zero, depending on the slopes involved
1(which I think is still not quite enough to make it obvious he's less dangerous than complete strangers on her way from the metro station back home unless she's in a third-world country, but still)
What do you think they might be tracking that Sinclair isn't?
e.g. his demeanor, and the way other people at the meetups who've known him for longer than she has treat him
I wonder whether there's a niche for generative AIs exclusively trained on works in the public domain...
Roll back the thing whereby you not only can but automatically do upvote your own comments?
Sounds like a solution in search for a problem TBH
I'm almost sure the energy you'd save in your lifetime by doing it the optimal way would be less than the energy you spent to write this post...
How 'bout "non-omnicidality"?
(BTW, the term for this is "Muhammad Wang fallacy")
I opened the comments just to say that!
(Oleg and Olga are the masculine and feminine variants of the same name, which is nearly obvious from their spellings but you'd never guess that from their Russian pronunciations alone)
And Irish (Gaelic) has both! (/ɲ/ is slender ng, /nʲ/ is slender n)
BTW, see http://www.numericana.com/answer/p-adic.htm#decimal for solutions to x^3 = x, x^4 = x etc.
...and my votes count twice because I have lots of karma, even though it's from eight years ago?
Wait... do I upvote my own comments by default now?
Do the Chinese verses in the last screenshot also rhyme, and are the English ones actually translations of them?
(If so, color me very impressed.)
Hello everyone, I used to have an account here a looong time ago which I had deactivated and I just realized I could undeactivate it.
I have been convinced that deleting my comments would be overkill, so I'm going to just delete my account, which will anonymize my comments, and hope that the permalink page title bug will be fixed.
I might come back here with a different username later.
Thanks to Baughn for their offered help.
Have a nice day.
The nice thing about IF is that in many forms, it's dead easy: you eat nothing one day, twice as much the next.
A particular form of IF I've heard of from several places is even easier: only eat within an 8-hour window each day. I often do that out of sheer can't-be-arsed-to-have-breakfastness.
(I hear that existing studies about that are pretty confounded, e.g. they find that people who don't have breakfast are less healthy but the effect disappears when controlling for conscientiousness.)
- You might be underestimating P(X read that particular XKCD | I know X), as I am a physicist, and know a fair number of engineers and computer scientists and a few mathematicians;
- you might be underestimating P(X continued to read enough of the site to stumble on my username | X was led to LW for the first time) -- I've commented a lot, including on many of the posts linked to on the about page and the welcome threads;
- it's not motivated doxxing (which I know is very very unlikely) that I'm worried about -- comments which I would mind someone I know in mea
How many of said threats are not bluffs? I mean, I know that some of them aren't, but I can't get myself to alieve it.
The LLM analog of in vino veritas