All of andrew carle's Comments + Replies
Thanks for the reply to a first post.
While I still have a dominant probability that human civilization will be broadly recognizable in 2034, I know that my confidence on that is proportional to my LW karma.
There's a lot about communicating with kids as a teacher that pushes me towards Simulacra Level 2 or higher. If we're on something closer to your 2029 timeline, my honest advice to students would be
Get Out of School ASAP and look for something interesting on the Jagged Frontier (use AI in a way you find useful that few others understand...
3Gotcha. A tough situation to be in.
What about "Keep studying and learning in the hopes that (a) I'm totally wrong about AGI timelines and/or (b) government steps in and prevents AGI from being built for another decade or so?"
What about "Get organized, start advocating to make b happen?"
I'm on the PauseAI discord in part to expose my students to that level of coordinated planning and direct action.
My Simulacra Level 1 perspective is that most students generally benefit from being in school. While some of that benefit comes from way-down-stream consequences (thankfully, I took an EE class in in 1983..:), a vast majority of the positive benefits happen in the immediate-term.
"Keep studying and learning" is a Simulacra Level 2 admonition that helps maintain the benefits I truly believe are there. (Yes, there are lots of problems in lots of sc... (read more)