All of caffemacchiavelli's Comments + Replies

This comes up a lot - Gwern has a decent research overview on arguments why nicotine by itself isn't particularly addictive (spoiler: MAOIs in tobacco) and there also decades of trying and mostly failing to get animals hooked on nicotine alone. As far as I can tell, society has just conflated nicotine and smoking and blamed the former for addiction to the latter.

n=1, but I personally do not feel any pull towards using patches not lozenges and ironically often forget about them.

7Matt Goldenberg
IME there is a real effect where nicotine acts as a gateway drug to tobacco or vaping in general this whole post seems to make this mistake of saying 'a common second order effect of this thing is doing it in a way that will get you addicted - so don't do that' which is just such an obvious failure mode that to call it a chesterton fence is generous

To stay with the drug theme: I've had moderate success using nicotine lozenges to "jumpstart" an exercise habit. For the uninitiated, nicotine is habit-building more than it is directly addictive and slow-release forms like lozenges or patches are relatively safe. I had no trouble stopping the lozenges after a few weeks and the habit stuck.

Do be careful with this if you have any cardiovascular ailments (particularly hypertension), as nicotine is a vasoconstrictor.

cubefox
1216

nicotine is habit-building more than it is directly addictive

This seems doubtful. Various other sources have described nicotine as highly addictive, comparable to various "hard" drugs. Evidence is that coffee drinking also seems "habit building", but it is empirically much, much easier to quit caffeine than to quit nicotine.

This is purely speculative, but I wonder if slow reaction speed could be in any way conducive to intelligence. I also score subpar on reaction time tests and sometimes react over a second later than I'd consider typical. Afaik IQ does correlate positively with reaction speed, so this naturally isn't the whole story, but my hypothesis would be a kind of "deep" vs "shallow" processing of sensory data. The former being slower, but able to find more subtle patterns in whatever you are perceiving, the latter being quick to respond, but also quick to miss vital information.

Only about 300 bases as well. I remember a study on SARS1 that showed higher immune response to an RBD vaccine than a full S1 subunit vaccine in mice. And while I usually trust studies on mice as far as I can throw them, it served as a good enough excuse to be a cheapskate. (And after all, I can throw mice at least moderately far...)

Thanks!

Hm, I'm not opposed to it, but given that the project is dead and any future biohacking project I'll take on will get a different name anyway, I'm not sure if changing the name retroactively accomplishes anything. I doubt this experiment will have enough of a lasting impact to cause trouble (beyond the people who were confused by this post, for which I apologize).

edit: I've changed the title for now, that seems to accomplish most of what's needed.

Not as far as I know, butThought Emporium on Youtube has a lot of tutorial videos on genetic engineering. (FWIW, Stöcker himself failed to express the protein in bacteria and iirc used CHO instead. I don't see any intrinsic reason why E.Coli shouldn't work, but I'd probably use HEK or CHO myself given the choice)

Purification isn't necessary if you buy already purified protein; in my case it was just cheaper to get it in bulk and filter it myself.

Removing the his-tag reduces the low-ish risk of it interfering with the immune response, but not doing so doesn't strike me as dangerous, it's just a dangling chain of histidine after all (and biology doesn't quite work like Unsong, luckily).

As for using peptide vaccines as a booster, I'm mildly optimistic given the evidence. Boosting vector vaccines with mRNA seems stronger than vice-versa, but it's still better than onl... (read more)

4dawangy
Thanks for taking the time to answer. When you say purified protein, what's the standard for "pure enough"? I see some listings that say things like ">95% by SDS-PAGE".

Interesting data! I made a similar calculation at the start of my studies, but in the opposite direction - I thought I had the cognitive capacity to study at a fairly rapid level, but ADHD and other projects often got in the way. So I picked a fairly tough university for my subjects (CS and mathematics in Bonn, though CS is "only" in the bottom half) and I'm happy with the result.

I'm not sure how different my experience would have been at other places - I think Germany has a much more homogeneous standard of education than the US - but my math modules definitely challenged me.

2Morpheus
Yeah, I should probably have included that in the main post, but I didn't feel like I could authoritatively say which universities are thought of as tough (maybe just ask around for that?), but as you said there is probably not that much of a difference in terms of curriculum. Another consideration that I forgot to mention is some filtering going on. Munich for example is probably higher on the list because they are filtering students before they can enroll. To be honest, part of my motivation to write this came after having some bad experiences with the bureaucracy at my university. I was wondering how much of the variation isn't like actual curriculum, but all the organizational stuff around it (which was what had tripped up me at least), but I really don't know any cheap way to get info about that.

Oo, I wasn't even aware of that, thanks for the link!

That is a DNA vaccine, so it's more similar to the mRNA vaccines we have now in that it contains genetic data of the virus that is then built by the body itself. This one seems to contain the entire S and N proteins, not just a subunit of the S protein.

DNA vaccines are more complicated than recombinant vaccines to get right and can cause serious damage if done wrong. That and the fact that the more complex a project, the more likely I'm going to procrastinate and let it die, made me stick with the simple... (read more)

1A Ray
Does a similarly-structured resource to the ones I linked exist for recombinant vaccines?  I'd be curious for learning more about what would be needed to do this kind of DIY-ish project in the future.

Hm, most of the people I'm thinking of are rather technical, e.g. Kevin Esvelt's research on distributed secure research.

Coordination and incentive problems are of another nature and I only manage to be prescriptively optimistic. I've been interested in algorithms for decentralized economic planning for a while, plan to specialize in that area and am working with a local left-acc group to organize a think tank that works on these questions. Thanks to mechanism design taking off as a discipline and crypto hype fueling a lot of work on trustless computing, t... (read more)

3JenniferRM
I can respect consciously prescriptive optimism <3 (I'd personally be more respectful to someone who was strong and sane enough to carry out a relatively simple plan to put dangerous mad scientists in Safety Level 5 facilities while they do their research behind a causal buffer (and also put rogue scientists permanently in jail if they do dangerous research outside of an SL5)... though I could also respect someone who found an obviously better path than this. I'm not committed to this, its just that when I grind out the math I don't see much hope for any other option.)

Not really, was concerned about biological X-risks before and continue to be.

I don't currently see any plausible defense against them - even if we somehow got a sufficient number of nations to stop/moderate gain-of-function research and think twice about what information to publish, genetic engineering will continue to become easier and cheaper over time. As a result, I can see us temporarily offsetting the decline in minimum IQ*money*tech_level needed to destroy humanity but not stop it, and that's already in a geopolitically optimistic scenario.

Luckily there are some intimidatingly smart people working on the problem and I hope they can leverage the pandemic to get at least some of the funding the subject deserves.

4JenniferRM
If you know of someone working on a solution such that think we're lucky rather than doomed, I'm curious whose work gives you hope? I'm pretty hopeless on the subject, not because it appears technically hard, but because the political economy of the coordination problem seems insurmountable. Many scientists seem highly opposed to the kinds of things that seem like they would naively be adequate to prevent the risk. If I'm missing something, and smart people are on the job in a way that gives you hope, that would be happy news :-)

Yes, I originally planned to include a small section about Stöcker, but it seemed only tangentially related to the project itself and fuel for extensive political discussions.

tldr for the unintiated: Stöcker is the founder of Euroimmun, a company that makes lab chemicals and also happens to make Covid antibody tests. Through his contacts, he managed to get his hands on the spike protein DNA early and made his own recombinant vaccine candidate. He also gave this to several dozen volunteers and lab employees, which he argues falls under a loophole that allow... (read more)

1FireStormOOO
That side note is interesting and seems worth expanding on.  Would seem to suggest that people aren't so much distrustful of vaccines and medicine as they are distrustful of anything the government wants to stick in their arm for free with penalties for non-compliance.  That might even be a reasonable heuristic if it wasn't the start and end of any reasoning done.   It would also suggest that the way to get the last stuborn 10%/20%/30% of the population vaccinated is to have someone loudly critical of the government make and promote a different vaccine (maybe license and rebrand one from a different not too friendly country), then make people pay for it.  Bonus points if the establishment is seen objecting that you shouldn't go pay for that vaccine when the govt has perfectly good free ones.
4dawangy
I see, thanks for doing this. I have been really interested in self-vaccination since the original RADVAC whitepaper came out, but I never really pulled the trigger on any method due to a lack of expertise in the area and (expected) expressions of concern from some people close to me.  A few more Q's: It does seem like doing the purification step may require or at least benefit from some level of lab experience, which I unfortunately don't have. How important do you think the purification step is for the safety of the final product (as taken IM)? If it really shouldn't be skipped, I may be better off with RADVAC. I notice that a lot of RBD are sold with "(His-Tag)" at the back. Based on some cursory reading, it seems that this is for the purposes of making purification easier. But does this tag have to be removed to be used in a vaccine? Some comments on ResearchGate suggest the answer is no but I'm really not sure. Secondly since it does seem like people who have been exposed to SARS-CoV-2, a vaccine, or even SARS-CoV-1 mount a stronger response when later given another vaccine for SARS-CoV-2, do you think that it might be possible that dosing the DIY one again (but say, with an Omicron RBD) after getting the commercial vaccines could demonstrate the efficacy of the DIY one if the titer from a commercial antibody test increases after injecting it?
4ChristianKl
To be exact, part of creating the Covid antibody tests was creating the spike protein domains so his company was already creating those for reasons unrelated to making the vaccine. 

Excellent post! It's interesting how this mirrors what I've been attempting to do over the last month - applying some of the ideas from Mark Manson's Models (i.e. the one good dating book out there) to my general social life with surprising success. I've always been a bit of a reclusive guy (big surprise given that I'm on LW, I know) and the two main people I've tried to be more open and emotionally honest with this month have responded very positively. We cuddle, touch and have intimate conversations even though we met fairly recently, which would usually... (read more)

From what preliminary legal advice I've received, I'm allowed to hand it out as a research chemical but anything beyond that might get me into trouble. That sadly limits me to offering it to other nerds who I can reasonably expect to use it for research purposes, but I also highly doubt that anyone outside that cluster would even be interested.

Thanks for posting this, this looks excellent.
It's my impression that you can indeed just buy the antigen needed - the lowest price for 1mg I found was around 900€. Allowing for 10% waste, this would cover 20 individuals at 45µg each. I looked at the antigen test results first and was worried that the vaccine wouldn't perform as well in live tests, but the neutralization results Stöcker posted are quite promising and a Nature study suggests that using 319–545 of the RBD is effective in providing immunity to live virus in primates. I don't expect the remai... (read more)

4ChristianKl
Not legal advise: It's my understanding that German law allows you to take things you brew up yourself but only doctors or Heilpraktikers are allowed to give brews like this to other people. If you have a friend who's a doctors or Heilpraktikers who could take the role might be helpful (and that person should have a better idea about the exact conditions under which he can give out brews).
Answer by caffemacchiavelli
*60
  • Make sure you don't have undiagnosed ADD and spend ten years of your life going from one self help technique to the next and failing to get your executive brain to use any of them.

  • Also, virtuous cycles are incredibly powerful for me. It's much easier to start a big project when I have a few victories fresh in my mind than when I don't. So I try to go for quick wins whenever I have free time. Small home improvement projects work well for me and also make my surroundings nicer.

  • Avoid clutter. This can double as a way to procrastinate, but I've found t

... (read more)
1Nicholas / Heather Kross
Yes! It turned out I had undiagnosed ADHD, and I'm getting treatment for it. It's not solving everything (otherwise I probably wouldn't have asked the question), but it's helping.

The mediawiki suggestion was mine (and the whetstones, but that's more specifically for people who cook and/or relax more easily with something to do) and it's been surprisingly useful.

There's always something small to add, so it can very quickly become a virtuous cycle of finding something that cheers you up and adding something to cheer up future you in turn.

I'm not the organizer, but the Cologne meetup has been happening regularly for a while. The mailing list is here and the date is decided via online poll, but always a Saturday and usually towards the end of the month.

0FrankAdamek
Cool. When the a regular meetup is included in the list I make it a link to an entry on the wiki meetup page (e.g. https://wiki.lesswrong.com/wiki/Less_Wrong_meetup_groups#Hamburg.2C_Germany). I don't see one for Cologne, can you or someone else in the group create an entry?

Certain people -- some of whom are in positions of enormous power -- just do not give a damn about other human beings. A certain head of state in Syria comes to mind.

I'd also say that your ability to care about other people, along with overall sanity, will diminish under constant stress. That's why "Preserve own sanity" is #1 on my rules to be followed in case of sudden world domination list and something I need to stay aware of even in my current (and normally not that stressful or important) job.

Happy to share my system. This isn't supposed to be a jab at zero inboxing, I just never felt the need to physically move email. I've been using multiple addresses, filters and tags since long before I actually had things to do and they actually continue to do the job pretty well.

My current set-up looks something like this:

  • Bulk inbox for everything unsorted.
  • Business inbox for everything sent to me about my job by a person.
  • Ad inbox for everything sent to me about my job by a robot.
  • Accounts inbox for bills I intend to keep and any financial mail.
  • Chat i
... (read more)
0Elo
(system sounds really good) How many emails are you getting per day + per year for each of the addresses?

FWIW: The idea of upvoting the poll itself kinda eluded my internal option mapper until right now, even though I like them. Guess my decision making process went straight past "If post interesting then upvote" to "If poll interesting then participate".

I enjoyed it, thanks for sharing. (Btw, are there more general, practical utility lectures like this?)

When you talk about being underwhelmed with other students, could you go into detail what criteria you'd specifically assess when making that judgment?

I've noticed that most intellectual doujins tend to think of themselves as particularly special and of other people as not quite as much, even if the empirical evidence isn't all that convincing (Mensa can be notoriously bad about this, so is the "I have goals!" self-help crowd), so I always take some time to look at the actual data before adopting a similar belief.

3Liron
Re general lectures, I also have a couple more of my own at liron.me/talks.
7Liron
Ok, here's why I think SPARC students would be underwhelmed by college students. Regarding measurable facts, I'd estimate that: * Compared to the median UC Berkeley student, the median SPARC participant can spend 3x less time studying any material to get the same test score. * Compared to the median UC Berkeley student, the median SPARC participant's expected cumulative income in the next 20 years is about 3x as much. My point is that if you want to reach your potential in life, you want to calibrate your peer group to challenge you. And something like a factor of 3x isn't calibrated. That said, of course there are also ways in which the average SPARC participant is somewhat inferior to the average person, like making a good social first impression. But if the SPARC person can manage to train their conscious focus on that or any other area of weakness, I'd usually bet on them being able to surpass their non-SPARC peers in that area. Intelligence is the smartphone of talents. Sure you can have other possessions, but usually the single best thing to have is a smartphone.

Even if you, personally, happen to die, you've still got a copy of yourself in backup that some future generation will hopefully be able to reconstruct.

Is there a consensus on the whole brain backup identity issue?

I can't say that trying to come up with intuition pumps about life extension has made me less confused about consciousness, but it does seem fairly obvious to me that if I'm backing up my brain, I'm just creating a second version who shares my values and capacities, not actually extending the life of version A. Being able to have both versions... (read more)

0[anonymous]
NO. There are many like me who see what the OP advocates as a gigantic holocaust. "Murder the entire population of the world and replace them with artificial copies" is a terrifying outcome.
3SodaPopinski
The idea of a persistent personal identity has no physical basis. I am not questioning consciousness only saying that the mental construct that there is an ownership to some particular sequence of conscious feelings over time is inconsistent with reality (as I would argue all the teleporter-type thought experiments show). So in my view all that matters is how much a certain entity X decides (or instinctually feels) it should care about some similar seeming later entity Y.
1Nanashi
No, and thank you for pointing out the potential for confusion in this post. I have edited some key wording: "results in the continuation of the perception of consciousness." has now been changed to "results in a perception of consciousness functionally indistinguishable to an outside observer," which much more closely reflects my intent. So in other words, if John Doe went into a locked room, created a copy of himself, incinerated the original version, disposed of all the ashes, and then walked out of the room, the copy would be indistinguishable from the original John Doe from your perspective as an outside observer. How John Doe himself perceives that interaction is an extremely difficult question to answer (or even to really formulate scientifically).

For me personally, writing email faster. It's really easy for me to get immersed trying to write the perfect email or forum post and burn through 40-60min without noticing. They're not even necessarily long, just excessively pruned and reformatted. Getting comfortable with an email with all the important content and okay phrasing saves me a bunch of time.

On second place, priority filtering, i.e. separating email to respond to from subscriptions, offers and notifications. Category filters are nice, but I don't think they're making me more productive.

Anythin... (read more)

0tog
I'd add using keyboard shortcuts, which are available in desktop clients and GMail.

That would be a cool feature for phone calls. Depending on situation (or mood), switch between happy hours where everyone gets through, serious caller only mode for business hours, and emergency mode for anything social or serious.

I don't think it matters much. I'm not a fan of instant notifications (avg. importance of my email is too low to justify the amount of distraction), but beyond that, checking frequency would be pretty low on my list of email productivity improvements.

I check mine once or twice a day; most of my email is pre-sorted correctly by using a bunch of filters and around a dozen of addresses with different uses and priorities. I don't think I could work with a global, unsegmented email inbox; I saw a friend use his years ago and it still terrifies me, even with his relatively low inflow (30-50/day).

0tog
What would be high on your list, out of interest?

That's a really good point, especially for those who decide to make their living outside of the common "get safe job" paradigm, which to be fair isn't all that robust (at least in the US), either.

I've noticed myself that the anxiety I feel about losing a key component of my business has decreased immensely over the last few years, even though the risk is either the same or slightly higher. Even as a kid I used to feel strange about that. I was scared of big spiders, so whenever I'd catch one in my bed, I'd be terrified for the next couple of days... (read more)

0buybuydandavis
To combat anxiety, you need financial security - savings, low expenses, and probably most importantly, some source of revenue you can call on with confidence, even if it's a good deal lower than what you can earn in better circumstances. You need to know that come what may, you won't be living under a bridge. The thing that struck me about this guy was that he appeared to have some skills - how could he translate them into quick cash? Wouldn't that be handy? Some market to peddle your wares that you have confidence you could quickly bring in cash? I think that fella needs to find such a market now. Get cash in the door. He doesn't have time to get the career job - he needs cash now. Once he stabilizes his situation, he can work on getting better paying jobs. My brother in law drives a limo. Somebody always needs a ride, even when the economy is down, and he can spend as much time as he wants trying to find them. Seems like that guy should be able to find low paying consulting/tutoring work in a hurry. He probably should contact some government/social group about his impending eviction. My understanding is that it's pretty hard to evict someone, and he has a bit more time than he seems to think.

For the sake of completeness, the two best counter-arguments I've heard so far (IRL):

1) MBAs are useful as a baseline business sanity tool, so you can get a decent employee to a point where they'll understand the basic vocabulary of a lot of different disciplines. For instance, they'll have a rough picture of what segmenting and targeting a market means, even if they won't know how to use it in practice, let alone compete with a junior marketer. Someone who's already read a bunch of stuff and managed a business isn't going to learn as much and might be dis... (read more)

Elon's and Manoj's statements caught my interest since hiring MBA-types is assumed to be a standard move for entrepreneurs who have completed the exploratory phase of reaching product-market-fit and are trying to scale up quickly.

Even if you're highly skilled in entrepreneurial and/or executive tasks, you'll need somebody who deals with monitoring, dissemination and handling low-key disturbances. To be honest, I always assumed that you should hire MBAs for this, but now I'm a little more wary.

Do you think the Group 1 schools are superior to the rest as far as quality of material goes? I've been talking to a friend who goes to a well-known university in Europe and a fellow entrepreneur who visits an ivy-league US school, and while I don't have the full picture (or syllabus), they didn't seem much more impressed with the experience than I've been.

2Lumifer
What do you mean, "quality of material"? The textbooks they use, the business cases they discuss? That stuff is broadly similar. The major differences are in who surrounds you (and, consequently, what the expectations are). The TAs and professors at top-tier schools can assume that there are very few stupid people among their students and so have no need to dumb down the teaching towards a low lowest common denominator. It is also generally held as true that on the global scale all top-ten business schools are American.

I'm on a business trip, so I won't be around for this one, but I'm definitely interested in future events.

It would appear so. FtBCon Homepage says this:

After each session is over, it will almost immediately be saved to the YouTube channel of the person hosting it (the person whose Google+ profile the session was on). It takes a little while for the videos to be processed and posted, so it’s not instant. We’ll update a post with final videos as they become available.

Hello, everyone. I stumbled upon LW after listening to Eliezer make some surprisingly lucid and dissonance-free comments on Skepticon's death panel that inspired me to look up more of his work.

I've been browsing this site for a few days now, and I don't think I've ever had so many "Hey, this has always irritated me, too!" moments in such short intervals, from the rant about "applause lights" to the discussions about efficient charity work. I like how this site provides some actual depth to the topics it discusses, rather than hand the r... (read more)