I must quibble with some of the epistemological terminology here. Both "graphical explanation" and "geometric explanation" are not properly speaking explanations. They merely restate the original empirical observation in graphical or statistical terms, but do not explain why the tails-coming-apart phenomenon occurs. The "intuitive explanation" on the other hand does explain why the phenomenon occurs (i.e. the distributions of other factors influencing the outcome come into play). Similarly, "regression to the mean" is merely a restatement of the empirical ... (read more)
I must quibble with some of the epistemological terminology here. Both "graphical explanation" and "geometric explanation" are not properly speaking explanations. They merely restate the original empirical observation in graphical or statistical terms, but do not explain why the tails-coming-apart phenomenon occurs. The "intuitive explanation" on the other hand does explain why the phenomenon occurs (i.e. the distributions of other factors influencing the outcome come into play). Similarly, "regression to the mean" is merely a restatement of the empirical ... (read more)