Omega rings your doorbell and gives you a box with a button on it that, if pushed, will give you a million dollars and cause one person, who you don't know, to die. But it's actually Omega's evil twin, and what he's not telling you is that when you push the button, you'll be trapped in Ohio for 7000000000000000.2 years.
If you don't believe this could really happen, consider this: What if someone became god-emperor of the universe and MADE it happen, just to prove a point? Shouldn't you give it at least a 1% probability?
The probability of this is much lower than 1%.
However, the fact that it is posted here increases its probability by orders of magnitude, precisely on account of the argument made in the second paragraph: now all someone has to do is to make it happen, just to prove a point. Previously, they had to come up with the exact scenario, which means that previously it was orders of magnitude less probable.
Why are people so interested in increasing the chances of us being tortured?
Omega rings your doorbell and gives you a box with a button on it that, if pushed, will give you a million dollars and cause one person, who you don't know, to die. But it's actually Omega's evil twin, and what he's not telling you is that when you push the button, you'll be trapped in Ohio for 7000000000000000.2 years.
If you don't believe this could really happen, consider this: What if someone became god-emperor of the universe and MADE it happen, just to prove a point? Shouldn't you give it at least a 1% probability?