Nice post Mr. Tegmark, ty! Regarding your statement
"...(80%) that NATO's response will be forceful enough to include a non-nuclear military strike against Russia, because key NATO leaders have already made strongly worded statements to this effect"
would you (or can anyone else?) kindly supply direct quotes (please not merely citations of news articles that paraphrase or that quote less than complete sentences) of some such statements? For the ones not cited or quoted, maybe Mr. Tegmark will clarify whether he means key current NATO officials or merely ...
In a few places you compare, from a person's perspective, the "fortune" of that person (or what "seems positive for" them), to their fortune if they never existed. How can this mean anything? I don't think that someone/something that (hypothetically) doesn't exist can have a (hypothetical) perspective. (And if they can't even have a perspective, it probably doesn't need to be said that neither can they have a fortune to compare to a fortune arising from a perspective on a (real or hypothetical) existence.
Seems more sensible (and might possibly make a prac... (read more)