All of compartmentalization's Comments + Replies

This paper analyzes specific incidents in which a group of one infected person plus some uninfected people sat down together, and some uninfected people got it. They find a secondary attack rate (from mostly non-household interactions) of 35%. There are two big issues that prevent this paper from being used to draw good inferences about the household secondary attack rate. First, the incidents were found by specifically looking for superspreading events, and does not include any events where transmission didn't happen. And second, the events are single gatherings, whereas living with someone may involve many opportunities to get infected.

If it's all about contacts and not about education, couldn't we save the costs of university? I guess, we couldn't, because an elite university is not about education, but about costly signalling. But then it's quite counter-intuitive to suggest that costly signalling (wasting tons of money just to signal that you have the ability to waste tons of money) is effective altruism.

Ok, replaced on "smoked products".

re compartmentalization question about 'jinxing'. I have some experience and knowledge in this subject from a sports science perspective. It's commonly accepted within sport psychology that first, negativity, is associated with predicting low chances of success, and secondly that those who do display negativity and predict low chance of success decrease their own performance. For example, a well coached basketball player at the free throw line would be aware that saying "I'm going to miss this free throw" increases their chances of missing the free throw. Note now that "well coached" implies including psychological training as a component of a wider training program. One source for you compartmentalization, to dig a little deeper is... "Krane and Williams concluded that a certain psychological profile appears to be correlated with peak performance for most athletes. More specifically, this ideal mind/body state consists of the following: (a) feelings of high self-confidence and expectations of success, (b) being energized yet relaxed, (c) feeling in control,(d) being totally concentrated, (e) having a keen focus on the present task, (f) having positive attitudes and thoughts about performance, and (g) being strongly determined and committed. Conversely, the mental state typically associated with poorer performances in sport seems to be marked by feelings of self-doubt, lacking concentration, being distracted, being overly focused on the competition outcome or score, and feeling overly or under aroused. While acknowledging that this ideal mind/body state is highly idiosyncratic, Krane and Williams concluded that for most athletes, the presence of the right mental and emotional state just described is associated with them performing to their potential." Harmison, R. J. (2006). Peak performance in sport: Identifying ideal performance states and developing athletes' psychological skills. Professional Psychology: Research and Practice, 37(3), 233-243. doi: 10.1037/0