All of Corm's Comments + Replies

Corm30

"Our fair city is poised to allow 6-story buildings citywide by an 8-1 vote. In context that is a huge change. Under the old rules only 350 units (!) total were expected over 15 years and 85%+ of the existing housing wouldn’t have been legal to build. Here’s a primer on the changes. They had to compromise a bit on setbacks and lot size to get it over the finish line, but it still seems great." I wrote about the specifics of this if anyone wants to hear more/cool data visualization maps.

https://ascendantnewyork.substack.com/p/what-nyc-can-learn-from-cambridge

Corm10

what did you use to generate the images in this post?

3owencb
DALL·E. I often told it in abstract terms the themes I wanted to include, used prompts including "stylized and slightly abstract", and regenerated a few times till I got something I was happy with. (There are also a few that I drew, but that's probably obvious.)
Corm10

I am become Matt Levine, destination for content relevant to my interests.

You don't even need to go to London for mundane utility, there's and "AI Mart" in LIC.

Corm10

Have you considered doing random spot checks. Feels like even 3x per year gets 80% of the value.

Corm74

Match group acquired OKCupid in 2011, ever since then it has been destroying OKCupids functionality and moving it closer and closer to a generic swipe dating app.

Corm70

Here’s some major mundane utility, huge if true: Automatically analyze headlines for their implications for stock prices, get there first and earn a 500% return

 

I read the article about this and their assumptions are insane. Normally stock news happens after the market closes. The way returns on the next day are calculated is just (end of day price for the day)/(end of day on the previous day). It is importantly not (end of day)/(opening price) of the stock. This is why stocks are able to very frequently open up many percentage points due to news happ... (read more)

6Zvi
Now we don't have to read it! Not all heroes wear capes. 
Corm20

Would be nice to be able to have a summary after finishing for each question of what I estimated, what the correct answer was, and points scored.

Corm40

title: bundling not bunding

Corm*11

For anyone specifically looking for a phone game, I have recently found Slice & Dice: https://tann.itch.io/slice-dice

to be very compelling, consistently interesting choices and good to jump in an out of while riding public transit for 20-30 minute spurts.

Corm72

Talking to strangers is more enjoyable than people think. Update accordingly. Notice that if you already know about how much people enjoy talking to strangers, but not how much they expect to enjoy it, then this new information becomes bad news, but I presume it is instead good news. Does this mean it is ‘that easy’? No, but it’s also not that hard.

I read the 2014 paper that this NYT article refers to. They ran the experiment on METRA which is a very white commuter line from Chicago Suburbs into downtown Chicago. Sample size less than 200, mean age 49 (SD ... (read more)

Corm12

It seems to me like first and second teacher are getting mixed up. 

 

"The second teacher wants something useful, a thought out and justified view on population ethics that doesn’t get too lost in the weeds."

 

"There are times and places where you want the second teacher (or something in between them) rather than the first one. This does not seem like it is one of those places."

 

Don't we want the second teacher in this place?

2Zvi
Yes. Good call.
Corm40

I talked to a good friend of mine who is a (I originally had a pretty large descriptor of bonafides here but decided to minimize her exposure surface area). I generally consider her to be very knowledgeable/a very Chinese govt insider point of view, but generally with a Chinese positive slant.

Her claim was that the tepid Shanghai covid response was due to conflicting local vs. national govt priorities. in that the Shanghai govt wanted to coexist with covid due to having high # ICU beds/population and having relatively high vaccination rates. Shanghai only ... (read more)

3GeneSmith
David Friedberg said they had 1.5 years on the “All In Podcast”. He was saying they may use that food stockpile as leverage over other countries who need food due to the Russia/Ukraine war disrupting wheat production.
Corm20

This might be a reading comprehension problem on my part, but I couldn't find the objective explicitly stated. Is the objective to maximize the probability of successfully retrieving all 3 fragments? or to maximize the expected number of fragments retrieved?

3aphyer
You're right, I didn't make that explicit, this is a good question to ask. The objective is the first - the fragments are useless on their own, your win rate is the probability of getting all three. So a 50% chance of each fragment is better than guaranteed success on two and guaranteed failure on the third.
Corm80

Have you read https://www.gwern.net/docs/psychology/okcupid/themathematicsofbeauty.html

 

This blog post by the old okcupid team (before they were bought by matchgroup) seems to be pretty strongly advocating for playing up the unique ways you are attractive, and not trying to play up all the ways you are average possibly to the detriment of your elo.

I certainly have found this to be a top tier resource when thinking about dating app meta and was somewhat surprised to not see it referenced.

7Xodarap
Thank you, I am familiar with that post. Their explanation is: On Tinder/bumble/etc. it's just as costly to swipe left as it is to swipe right. I don't think people are as likely to factor in likelihood of success when swiping as they are when deciding to invest the time to send a message. (One exception is super likes, but I'm skeptical that one should optimize their profile for super likes.) Also, to the extent that one thinks this theory is valid, I don't think the resulting advice is to "play up unique ways you are attractive" – instead, it's to signal in your profile that you are attracted to people who are conventionally unattractive (e.g. "thicc thighs save lives") and still be conventionally attractive yourself.