My second observation is closely related to the first. It is true that the state of box 2 is not causally dependent upon my act, in Newcomb's problem. But another kind of dependence relation obtains which is at least as important as causal independence and which seems to take clear precedence in the limit case. If I am completely certain that the being has predicted correctly, then the state of box 2 depends logical
A quote for those of you who are interested in decision theory, taken from Counterfactuals and Newcomb's Problem (sorry, though: gated link):
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