So I think I disagree with an appeal to authority. My constant reliance on Sears (2023) is not because Sears is an authority, but because I think its a good bit of work. I've tried summarising it here, but the reason I don't lay out the entire argument is it is based on 3 detailed case studies and a number of less detailed case studies; if I'd tried to lay them out here, the post would have been far too long. I hope people read the underlying literature that I base my argument on - I buy them because the arguments are compelling, not because of authority.&... (read more)
This seems like a poorly chosen definition that's simply going to confuse any discussion of the issue.
If neither macrosecuritisation or a pause a likely to occur, what's the alternative if not Aschenbrenner?
(To clarify, I'm suggesting outreach to the national security folks, not necessarily an AI Manhattan project, but I'm expecting the former to more or less inevitably lead to the latter).
So I think I disagree with an appeal to authority. My constant reliance on Sears (2023) is not because Sears is an authority, but because I think its a good bit of work. I've tried summarising it here, but the reason I don't lay out the entire argument is it is based on 3 detailed case studies and a number of less detailed case studies; if I'd tried to lay them out here, the post would have been far too long. I hope people read the underlying literature that I base my argument on - I buy them because the arguments are compelling, not because of authority.&... (read more)