All of GonM's Comments + Replies

GonM
0-3

People always seem to forget about the more realistic zoo hypothesis.
Something that even humanity would do if we made contact with a less developed species/civilization.

1ifalpha
I personally find the zoo hypothesis to be merely a convenient hand-wave instead of an actual attempt to answer the question. It relies on three assumptions that cannot be taken for granted. The first is that other intelligent life exists in the first place. The second is that they must necessarily be more technologically advanced than us. The third and final assumption is that they would share our moral values to the point that they would leave an underdeveloped civilization alone.
GonM
22

Yes I know of that one, I was referring to the 'Disclosure Act' that really sets a precedent of mentioning recovered space craft and bodies. This is new territory that people should really pay more attention, regardless of the outcome.

GonM
61

Finally some really detailed analysis on this recent subject.
I'm surprised how little this has been discussed and represents a really interesting subject to bet on.
I find a lot of similarities to the AGI topic, even if we do need to keep some skepticism.

4awg
There's been one high-profile betting thread on this: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/t5W87hQF5gKyTofQB/ufo-betting-put-up-or-shut-up
1andeslodes
I thought it was worth taking the time to dig deep into this document as I haven't seen it mentioned here at all, despite it being one-week old at this point. No matter your beliefs on UAPs, I think the contents of this document should be an important part of the equation.
GonM
21

I can assure you that list is US centric. There are plenty of reported sightings in all of Europe in the last 30 years.
The 90s especially and there are several 'mass sightings' that I've read about in Portugal that are simply not in that list.
There is a clear lack of centralized information about all the world ufo reports, even if their explanation is prozaic.

GonM
43

This is a very interesting topic, since from my own perception there is a high market inefficiency regarding this topic, and the lack of international press around the recent developments on the USA Congress UAP hearings.