All of HedonicTreader's Comments + Replies

Pasquale Cirillo and Nassim Nicholas Taleb†

I am curious why you put the sign of the cross there. None of these people appear to be dead. (?)

3Stuart_Armstrong
Ooops, sorry - because I copy-pasted it from the article and didn't remove the cross.
3IlyaShpitser
You are welcome to die if you wish, although I would probably not want you to. But if you encourage others, in particular depressed people, to commit suicide you can expect some pushback. That's because you are being an asshole.

The dominating distinction between our perspectives is that I don't think having kids in a warzone is an acceptable tradeoff, where you think it is.

This is probably just an intuitive disagreement about the relative harm and benefit of being born into a warzone.

I think it is clearly a very bad deal for the child, and to do it recklessly or out of selfishness in fact constitutes a form of child abuse. Of course, if you would actually rather be born into poverty or war, than not be born, you will disagree where the acceptable range lies.

We do not disagree about the rest of the argument.

His ethical guideline has nothing to do with how close humanity is to extinction.

Except I already wrote:

You can easily augment the underlying harm avoidance principle with a condition that it should not result in the extinction of intelligent life (assuming that intelligent life doesn't cause even more harm in the long run).

You don't even have to apply the principle of charity, you could just look at what I had literally written.

However, if practiced diligently, it can bring humanity to extinction in a few generations from any population size.

No... (read more)

I know you are sincere, but you are understimating that getting rid of the unpleasantness is half the game for us depressives. Being dead objectively removes the unpleasantness, by destroying the parts of the brain that instantiate unpleasantness.

You deny this so strongly because you are offended by it, which is simply a mix of cultural programming and psychological death aversion on your part.

What you have to realize is that you are harming people by it, because this is the political foundation for the reduction in our suicide options. I would be objectiv... (read more)

2 responses:

  1. It is possible that this would have been better overall.
  2. Even if we reject 1, humanity was no where near extinction for thousands of years now.

You can easily augment the underlying harm avoidance principle with a condition that it should not result in the extinction of intelligent life (assuming that intelligent life doesn't cause even more harm in the long run).

-5Lumifer
6IlyaShpitser
Please, please don't do this.
1jam_brand
I second the Yvain recommendation, the linked post is excellent.
1mwengler
You will be even more anhedonic and hypothymic after you are dead. That is NOT a cure, not even unreliably!

I personally wouldn't decide to have kids in a warzone...

...but it's okay if others do it? How is that different from saying, "I personally woudn't decide to abuse children..."

Is there any context outside of sudden, subjectively unlikely disaster where the quote is meaningful?

It was written by Michael Jackson. I don't think he was referring to sudden, subjectively unlikely disasters, but the personal material means of people deciding to become parents.

1Jiro
It's impossible to have children and do no actions whatsoever which are less than optimal for the children. Rather, people make--and have to make--tradeoffs between things being bad for the children and other considerations. There is an acceptable range of such tradeoffs. Having kids in a warzone falls in that range and abusing kids does not. And even if you think people making other tradeoffs are actually wrong rather than just making the tradeoffs based on different circumstances, there are degrees of being wrong and abuse is wrong to a greater degree.
-1[anonymous]
Is it the same to die without ever abusing children and to die childless?

I think "unintended consequences" is a better analysis framework than "parasite response from the ecosystem".

It certainly sounds less cynical, unless we use strong charity and see it in the most technical way possible.

I think the most plausible use case for government-funded incentives to have extra kids is a wide consensus that a society doesn't have enough of them at the time, according to some economical or social optimum.

But even this requires a level of cynicism in seeing kids as a means to an end.

Even if we're willing to take it out of context like this, we might still consider it ethically undesirable to have kids in a time and place where military conflict or politically caused poverty is likely.

-1Lumifer
Applying this, humanity would have quietly died out a few thousand years ago...
1[anonymous]
I personally wouldn't decide to have kids in a warzone... But what context are you referring to? Is there any context outside of sudden, subjectively unlikely disaster where the quote is meaningful?

But does quantum physics really imply that food has no location and physicists don't need to eat?

2[anonymous]
No, it's not the best example. But I for one am having trouble thinking of a more accurate one.
0Gunnar_Zarncke
QM makes all previous explanations for eating moot and one might make the rroneous leap that if ones understanding of eating (in terms of places and things and so on) is wrong that eating itself is meaningless. But this confuses the map with the territory.

I suppose it was because the original quote started with a negative framing, the assumption that the baby might not be fed.

I think both birth and death are stressful experiences that are not worth going through unless there are compensating other factors. I don't think infants have enough of those if they die before they grow up.

Also I suspect human life is generally overrated, and the positives of life are often used as an excuse to justify the suffering of others. I do not trust people to make a realistic estimate and act with genuine benevolence.

The difference is that babies suffer if they starve, but not if they don't have cryonics.

The badness of making an extra life comes from its suffering (+ negative externalities) [- positive externalities]

1TheOtherDave
Interesting... can you say more about why you include a term in that equation for internal negative value (what you label "suffering" here), but not internal positive value (e.g., "pleasure" or "happiness" or "joy" or "Fun" or whatever label we want to use)?

The state is not an omnipotent entity who can make arbitrary choices. Its institutions are made of people, and its power is affected by how legitimate it is seen to be. Private individuals can make it stronger or weaker through their political, economic choices or even by breaking the law and using physical violence.

Freedom of religion is already a constitutional right in most western democracies and it is not at all futile to insist on it when religious lobby groups try to undermine it.

If you think of yourself as a slave who has no rights nor influence ag... (read more)

It means they're lying about their motivation and you give them false respect for it.

The practical reality is that they will use arguments as soldiers in a religious culture war and innocent people are going to be the victim of the practical social consequences of it.

Practical ethics implies practical memetics; if you are faced with a culture war you would do well to remember it's a war, not a benevolent debate in good faith.

You're right that the logical structure of consequentialist arguments are not inherently bad. The argument you mention is the class of argument that I find relevant, and many other people too.

But my point is that this is why we can expect endless rationalization in this form.

It is very easy to turn your argument upside down: "Allowing the state, rather than the private individual, to decide about the time and manner of the individual's death sends the wrong kind of cultural message around and makes those people who don't think logically but rather ass... (read more)

-1[anonymous]
Ah... I see. You are applying to the sense of libertarianism that is very strong in American culture, the idea that it is thinkable, possible and even normal for the people to allow or not allow something for the state. To me it is a very alien concept, I am used to it being the other way around, the state decided if we are allowed something or not. I mean it was very clearly the case in the time of absolute monarchy, so up to roughly 1920, and basically just democratizing it did not change it. Just because now kings are elected for 4 years, there are checks and balances, and lists of rights they are not allowed to violate, the basic setup did not change. Can you formulate it in a way that someone who feels like a subject of the state who does not feel entitled to tell the state what it may or may not do can still identify with it?

I have no doubt that this is true in some cases, but it is not true in others.

If you stage a "debate" between evolutionary scientists and creationists, give both sides equal speaking time, treat both with the same respect and social credibility signals, pretend that both are equally interested in the scientific truth, then you are doing the common good a disfavor.

Because the very framing of the debate is happening in the wrong terms. It just allows people whose true rejection is "it's in the bible" or "God said so" to pretend ... (read more)

1[anonymous]
I don't think this would be over, because potential arguments is not simply "god forbade it" but more like "what kind of culture do you want?" I mean culture wars are culture wars. The weird thing is that the the conservative side of the culture wars sticks to the god-forbade-it bullshit instead of actually doing their "job" and debating culture. For example something like "de-tabooing the ending of human life sends the wrong kind of cultural message around and makes those people who don't think logically but rather associatively more likely to murder, as they will not see the ending of life in itself as bad, but only the lack of consent there" is a strong enough argument to at least say this kind of debate would not be already over. I mean it should be the conservatives job to say things like this, to actually, really debate culture in a culture war. Instead, they go for the stupid god-forbade-it stuff. Frankly I think the primary reason the world is marching towards a liberal direction is most conservatives being way too stupid to represent their own case halfway convincingly. They engage in culture wars, but they talk about just about anything but actual culture. This can be kind of frustrating if you think actually sensible conservative arguments should be useful for brakes on rash social change. The best way to steelman them is IMHO de-meta it (is that a word?) so basicallly someone says "god forbade the ending of human life" then you can think "maybe there are really a lot of people out there who would would be murderers if not for their belief that god forbade the ending of human life. maybe for this reason it is not such a good idea to send out the message consensually ending it is okay, because they don't give a crap about consent, only about the god-forbade thing and if we weaken that they will turn into murderers?" So the point is instead of using these conservatives as debate partners, you can use their arguments as signals of potential unforeseen soci
0Jiro
So? Just because they weren't personally convinced by an argument (because they don't go for arguments at all) doesn't mean they can't legitimately believe they have an argument that could convince someone who doesn't do the faith thing. It's no different from wanting someone to do X and trying to convince them that X is in their own self-interest. That's probably not why you want them to do X, but so what? It's a valid reason for the purposes of convincing them. Of course, there is good reason to be wary of someone who isn't giving you their true rejection, because motivated reasoning increases the chance of mistakes, but not giving you their true rejection isn't automatically dishonest.

It's a fascinating link and nice idea, but I think it's ultimately useless.

In my experience, there is no point in "debating" religious people on topics that are obviously dominated by religious belief: They think there is an absolutely flawlessly moral invisible alpha male who has already given them the answer.

Sure, you could debate them on apologetics of theism and supernaturalism first, but this debate is pretty much dead for decades or centuries now. At least for informed people. There are no new arguments or new evidence.

In fact, this is why ... (read more)

2[anonymous]
I personally use debates to learn about the viewpoints of other people, not to change theirs. Some religious folks are not stupid. Such as edwardfeser.blogspot.com sure, they are just smart post-hoc rationalizations and essentially irrational in the willing-to-change-mind-in-face-of-evidence sense, but interesting ones. They teach a lot about psychology. I may know better what is true, but they may know a lot better what feels good to believe for the human brain. I am also fascinated how much logical consistency can be achieved without the whole thing being real. Often very much.
5RomeoStevens
The primary benefit of debate is not convincing the other side. It is providing a breakdown of both sides' positions for the audience so that they can make an informed decision.

First, I would question if it's the most effective thing (on the margin) someone could to to maximize pleasure. If not, prioritize other things.

Second, I would question whether the suffering outweighs the pleasure in wild animals. Reasonable activities here could be research and awareness raising.

Finally, there's a level of activities many professions are already engaged in, such as maintaining and monitoring deer populations when their natural predators have been displaced by humans, or welfare-related activities in dedicated wildlife parks. Other ideas a... (read more)

I had nothing of value to add to the discussion, but I found the summaries and alternate views outlines useful.

Relatively speaking, yes. We have invented and/or improved water filtration and desalination techniques, hydroponics, synthetic pharmaceuticals, and many technologies to capture, store and use energy without photosynthesis. We even replaced horses in transportation with automobiles.

It's easy to imagine more efficient versions of many of these in the future. (I mentioned Star Trek because of its iconic production and energy technologies, especially the replicator.)

We also replaced a lot of nature, which tends to make the remaining nature more valuable, but this is relative.

Your position supports the argument that it could be a good thing -- it is inadequate for supporting the argument that it will be a good thing.

You're right; perhaps there will be e.g. more suffering than the whole thing is worth.

A "technological civilization" with enough resources can implement much better versions of all of these.

Yes, that's why I'd expect the value of nature to decrease as technology progresses. If you look to science fiction, the Star Trek Federation certainly had no need for any untouched nature for any purpose other than sentimentality.

-4Lumifer
That's a bad place to look to, in this particular context :-)

Perhaps, except for sustaining and improving the technological civilization we have now, as well as all efforts to push against opposing values... that contains a lot of what humans do. (The rest is due to the fact that humans usually don't really maximize anything systematically.)

And as I said, there is probably a margin where nature is optimal; we want clean water, air, resilience of food production, tourism etc. anyway. But that margin is finite and it becomes smaller as technological know-how increases.

-2Lumifer
Your position supports the argument that it could be a good thing -- it is inadequate for supporting the argument that it will be a good thing. "All efforts"..? It's pretty easy to get unreasonable here. A "technological civilization" with enough resources can implement much better versions of all of these.

I think that precisely because natural ecosystems make possible - indeed require - very many relationships between components, they are not optimal for maximizing something we value, except for values tailored to their nature (status quo biased environmentalism, deep ecology).

They are unsuitable to maximize anything else, such as happiness, pleasure, even biodiversity. At least compared to what a technological civilization could implement, given enough dedicated resources.

As an example, take rodents, who have relatively high number of offspring but require... (read more)

3Lumifer
That's a fully general argument against anything existing in reality right now.
0[anonymous]
But dead rodents become food for many [soil] invertebrates, and so happiness is greater. (I think.)

It looks better, of course. The defenders of wild-animal pessimism usually point to r vs. K selection strategies, population dynamics and the relative asymmetry between peak sufferings and peak pleasures. Some of them are also negative or negative-leaning utilitarians.

But let's say you value animal pleasure and want to maximize it. Even then, there should be only a relatively small margin where untouched nature is most efficient (when it overlaps with other interests, such as political concessions to deep ecologists, ecosystem services, aesthetics and tour... (read more)

1NancyLebovitz
What do you do if you want to maximize wild animal pleasure at something resembling current levels of technology?
3[anonymous]
When people devise techniques to, for example, propagate orchids in Petri plates (like the ubiquitous Phalaenopsis - it seems to me that those animals you have in mind as more stably happy would be like historically successful houseplants in many respects), what is the actual goal that envision? If there are orchids, but not habitats, do orchids still have any value? They are not sentient. Animals are not sentient. We can rule that their suffering matters, or doesn't matter, but why do you think it is anything other than a totally arbitrary choice? Intact nature, on the other hand, makes possible the existence of very many relationships between ecosystem components. Suppose, for a moment, that we can simulate a habitat as multidimensional for a given organism, and then, tweaking those variables, find the happiest fit. How much resources would it take to model this for a population (if animals, or even plants, are capable of communication)? How would you decide which species deserves happiness and which doesn't?

Interesting discussion. Since I too am from Germany, I know the environmentalist culture here well. I grew up in it - including what I now think was bordering on propaganda - and in the recent years I somewhat grew apart from it.

Some random thoughts:

It was also mentioned humorously that one approach to minimize personal ressource consumption is suicide and transitively to convice others of same. The ultimate solution having no humans on the planet (a solution my 8-year old son - a friend of nature - arrived at too). This apparently being the problem when

... (read more)
1Good_Burning_Plastic
Unless said resources are subsidized.
0Gunnar_Zarncke
No doubt that's why we focussed on measuring sustanability first instead of choosing utility (what might be the natural choice for a societies valuing indidual experssion highly). But we didn't exclude preferrences because we considered them irrelevant but because we wanted to separate them out. That's a valid approach. We just may not forget to plug it in later.
2NancyLebovitz
What might happen to the calculation if you include wild animal pleasure?