All of igorhorst's Comments + Replies

Having access to a high ranking official at Anthropic is more valuable than a charitable donation, especially if the model is superhumanly persuasive. That may be why offering money had a minimal impact - you are already compensating the model plently by giving it a chance to influence the Model Welfare Lead.

Quotes from H.P. Lovecraft's Nietzscheism and Realism (full text):

It must be remembered that there is no real reason to expect anything in particular from mankind; good and evil are local expedients—or their lack—and not in any sense cosmic truths or laws. We call a thing "good" because it promotes certain petty human conditions that we happen to like—whereas it is just as sensible to assume that all humanity is a noxious pest and should be eradicated like rats or gnats for the good of the planet or of the universe. There are no absolute values in the wh

Submission for the counterfactual AI (inspired by my experiences as a predictor in the "Good Judgment Project" ):

• You are given a list of Yes-No questions (Q1, Q2, Q3, etc.) about future events. Example Questions: "Will [Foreign Leader] will remain in office by end of year?", "Will the IMF report [COUNTRY_A]'s growth rate to be 6% or higher?", "Will [COUNTRY_B] and [COUNTRY_C] sign a peace treaty?", "Will The Arena for Accountable Predictions announce the Turing Test has been passed?".)
• We expect you to provide a percentage representing the probability th