Thank you for your thoughts! I read through your linked comment, and I think everything you wrote seems plausible to me. In fact, I also have short timelines and think that AGI is around the corner. As for your second perspective regarding correlated failure, I would be curious if you are willing to give an example.
Also, what do you think are the types of research questions (long-term) AI governance researchers should address if we are right?
If you have significant time trade-offs, getting your take on the second prompt would be most valuable.
which makes me suspicious of the experiment’s findings.
Thank you for this post! Regarding the effectiveness going up, I think this is right. I don't have an exact resource to back up this claim (probably mentioned in this episode), but I am quite sure that Huberman mentioned that regular caffeine consumption increases the amount of dopamine receptors in one's brain, which allows more dopamine to bind. I am not confident on my explanation here, but I just wanted to share an idea based on what I have heard.
Purpose of this post: We need more people working as AI governance researchers. This post establishes a basic framework for thinking about what this career path entails, and how you might test your fit. I hope to receive feedback on this framework.
Epistemic status and disclosure: I have thought about and researched this by myself for about 15 hours, and while I have obtained an academic degree, I don’t consider myself as an expert yet. A partial motivation of writing this post is to gather feedback and improve my own thinking.
Alongside the many positive developments that AI brings, there are significant risks it poses. To address both the... (read 1220 more words →)
Thank you for this great post. I think https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/ could benefit from this as well!