Perhaps agencies consistently overregulate. And when it comes to AI, overregulation is preferable to underregulation, whereas for most other fields the opposite is true.
Every 6 months or so I do 2 to 3 weeks without caffeine the first several days are always terrible, but after that I return to my baseline pretty quickly.
Mrntally I don't feel much a difference whether I'm drinking coffee or not. Lifting is much tougher without energy drinks or pre-workout. Running is a little bit harder for the first half mile or so.
Overall it isn't too much a change for me. I guess it's relevant that I'm young and didn't start drinking caffeine until 3 or 4 years ago.
To put it as simply as possible, I think that indoctrinating yourself in rationality pushes you further away from the average person, which makes it more difficult to relate emotionally to them.
The vast majority of my major problems stem from my difficulty connecting to other people. Therefore even though I'm really interested in Rationality, and I've enjoyed studying it, I think it's done me net harm.
This won't be the case for everyone, but I think that many people would be better served spending their time doing something else if their goal is to improve their emotional well-being.
Yes and no.
On the yes side, I find rationality to be incredibly intellectually stimulating. Often I encounter a concept, framework, or abstraction that floors me and sets my mind on fire for days afterward. I think that sort of mental stimulation is really healthy.
In so far as rationality can be defined as "the study of correct thought", it's obviously a latchkey subject for anyone who enjoys thinking critically in any capacity. When doing intellectual work, I often find myself drawing on "Rationalist" concepts. This helps me organize and clarify my own th...
My understanding of sanctions is that they're designed to provoke hardship and unrest inside of the target country.
In some sense, the people of a nation are at least partially collectively responsible for what that government does. This principle has been widely accepted, at least in the west, since the Nuremberg trials. If you subscribe to this widely held belief, then the Russian citizenry therefore bears some responsibility for the invasion via their consent to obey and support the existing regime.
A people have the moral obligation to overthrow a tyrann...
I want to register my conviction that ROB can mitigate effectiveness by keeping you arbitrialy close to 50% success rate by selecting numbers arbitrarily close to one another.
You're right. I Misremembered, but i checked and it is true that a bounded montonic function of the reals can have only a countable number of discontinuities. So if ROB knows our algorithm, he can select one continuous interval for all of his values to come from.
Proof of the countable nature of discontinutes given here:
Other posters have suggested using a function which increases montonically over the reals. My instinct is that for any such function, for any choice of epsilon, there is some delta such that n+delta does not provided a benefit of epsilon.
In my example i spoke of selecting n and n+1 as A and B. Instead let B be n+delta.
Recall that any monotnic increasing bounded function over the reals is continuous. Suppose we want to achieve a success rate with our guesses of 0.5+epsilon. ROB can select delta such that our performance is less than that. Then it follows t
ROB selects A and B. First suppose A < B. Suppose A is revealed. Further Suppose that some deterministic Algorithm R exists which takes in A, and produces the probability that A is smaller.
In round one the only input to the algorithm can be A alone. Furthermore since we have supposed that R is "better than 50%", we must see have R yield us that P( A smaller ) > 0.5. We can then easily extrapolate P( A bigger ) < 0.5.
Now suppose we have the opposite case, that A > B. Again the only input to our algorithm can be A for the first round. However we ...
I'm very interested to see the solution to this problem. I agree that "better than 50%" is a little vague, however even with the most generous interpretation I'm skeptical about the existence of such an algorithm, as long as we allow the nunbers to be arbitrarily selected.
Consider the following strategy. For N rounds of play, before round 1, let ROB arbitraily select a list of N numbers. For each round let ROB choose arbitrarily one member x of the set as A, remove that member from the list, and select B as x+1.
Clearly each round is independent since the s...
I'm competent in basic video editing and am willing to help you out. Contrary to some of the other comments, I think that there's substantial value in converting the sequences as-is to YouTube videos considering the size of the platform. Plenty of people use YouTube who don't read blogs or listen to podcasts. You could take the project and run with it, constructing animations, diagrams, and visualizations. But even absent those potential enhancements, I support disseminating the message as widely as possible.