This post is roughly analogous to the “before” photos that you see people use to demonstrate the effects of dieting, except I want to use it a sort of time capsule to compare my conception of myself as a thinker now to that conception in [some] years time, when I am further along in my studies of rationality and metarationality.
To contextualise the picture of a flabby, sad looking brain that I take today, I should probably describe my exploration of those concepts so far.
Rationality first: I study in a field that is somewhat based on principles of rationality but in terms of day to day thinking relies much more on pattern recognition... (read 1109 more words →)
Do you have much evidence of a time when medical researchers have been misled by a per-protocol analysis into advancing a treatment which, were it analysed using an intention-to-treat analysis, would not have been taken forward?
As one of I'm sure many good examples of the utility of per-protocol analysis; this study, looking at whether routine screening with colonoscopy reduces the risk of colorectal cancer. In the intention-to-treat analysis (examining those who were invited to be screened), the difference in death rate wasn't significant. In the per-protocol analysis (examining... (read more)