LESSWRONG
LW

All of jubydoo's Comments + Replies

I think the idea of the game was you get one chance to pick a bean. After all, if you can just keep picking beans until you've picked all the reds, there's not really much point to the so-called game anymore, is there?

3tlhonmey4y

Even if you can't keep picking until you've gotten all the reds, there may be some number of draws where the probability of drawing more than one from the jar with more reds exceeds the loss of probability from them being a smaller portion of the total. But it depends on exactly what the rules are. In terms of our reflexes... The lower levels of consciousness often aren't particularly good at math, so they probably just use a rough count.

A Rationalist's Tale

jubydoo14y60

It's good to know I'm not the only one. I can give a good argument against the existence of God these days, but when I first walked away from religious belief it was just a vague sense of "this is all BS".

I'm still new around here, and I'm still learning how to really be rational, but after being the smartest guy in the room for so long it's nice to learn that there's still room to grow. On that note, what is Solomonoff induction?

0lessdazed14y

I like this one. If you fall off your chair the first time you read section 8.2, you're doing it right. Alternatively, if you think to yourself "Obviously..." you are at a far deeper level of amateur understanding than I am. I didn't find the sections had to be read in order necessarily, so if one is obscure you could skip around.

1lukeprog14y

Here.