All of KenChen's Comments + Replies

Strongly agree that you would have a much, much higher impact by making this game available on the web. Straight-up Java is pretty much dead now. Consider even making a Facebook app, which would allow players to share the game with their friends for stronger distribution.

Our for-profit company, Lambda, uses Xero, a web-based accounting tool. They claim to serve non-profits as well: http://www.xero.com/us/not-for-profit/

I can't speak to how good they are for non-profits, but many startups are using Xero these days.

0Morendil
I second the recommendation, I've used Xero for a non-profit and found it wonderful. That was a while ago, I expect it's improved since.

A friend and I are starting a marketplace to connect fecal transplant donors with people who need them. Let's make this happen. Check out fecalnet.com.

1Lumifer
Are you sure you're not practicing medicine without a license?
5pinyaka
Your donor questionnaire asks if the donor is willing to take tests to demonstrate that they're healthy. You might specify at that point who will be paying for the test.

Aw crap, one time I could give a shit and it is apparently US only.

I founded a company, Lambda, a talent agency for exceptional developers, designers, technology professionals.

Here's the pitch:

It's currently very difficult for many nontechnical people to find high-quality software developers and designers to do contract work. Because it's often difficult to judge technical ability if you're not a technical person yourself, people often select the lowest bid for the project they want to get done, resulting in poor work or missed deadlines. People want to pay for high-quality talent, they just can't tell the difference.

By s... (read more)

Anyone should be able to join -- I just tested this with another email address, and there are indeed a few people on the list now. If you are still having issues, send me your email and I'll add you.

4jefftk
Neat! It looks like Charity Tick is a bidding-fee auction site where proceeds (minus some cut) go to charity. The people participating are trying to get an object. I'm proposing having the thing people are bidding on be partial ability to direct a charitable donation.

Omega updates the truth to fit its priors.

Sure, I'll go. Interested in a meetup there. (I'm from NYC)

You might just be seeking status. You might feel like you gain status whenever you declare that you will be working on a new project, and you might feel that you won't gain as much status by finishing an existing project that people are aware of already. At least, this may be true until you gain a reputation for not finishing projects.

1[anonymous]
I generally don't announce because I would feel incredibly bad not finishing a project that I had publicly committed to. So it's not about status.

It makes sense to say that a computer language is Turing-complete.

It doesn't make sense to say that a computer program is Turing-complete.

0[anonymous]
Arguably, a computer program with input is a computer language. In any case, I don't think this matters to my point.

Interesting article, thanks. Reposting the abstract here:

The relationship between money and happiness is surprisingly weak, which may stem in part from the way people spend it. Drawing on empirical research, we propose eight principles designed to help consumers get more happiness for their money. Specifically, we suggest that consumers should (1) buy more experiences and fewer material goods; (2) use their money to benefit others rather than themselves; (3) buy many small pleasures rather than fewer large ones; (4) eschew extended warranties and other f

... (read more)

Yes. I paid for the perfect stock photo to make this joke, so I'm glad you enjoyed it.

Personally, I don't like this because it's awkward. What do you call the community?

"The aspiring rationalist community"?

Plus, people are liable to drop the "aspiring" part anyway, because it's a pain to say.

3Vaniver
Just shorten it to something catchy like asprats.
4Eliezer Yudkowsky
Bayes-users and the Bayesian Conspiracy.
3DanielLC
You'd call the community whatever that community is called. For example, you'd call Less Wrong "Less Wrong". There's no one community of rationalists.

FYI, Bug report: The push-pull experiment is illustrated by a diagram of the future discounting experiment.

EDIT: It is fixed now.

I think the Millennium Prize Problems isn't the best example in this context, because for the one problem that was solved in that set, the prize was rejected.

Note that if the Fed raises interest rates, credit will become more expensive, demand will decrease, and prices will decrease (all else equal).

In the United States, mortgages with fixed rates are better right now (if you stay in your house) because interest rates are extremely low right now. If you take an ARM, you will lose if you stay in your house, because interest rates are bound to rise.

If you select a 30-year mortgage, you will pay more overall. But it turns out that you only need to beat a 2-3% annualized return (assuming you took out a fixed-rate loan at interest rates right now) with the extra money you save every month in order for a 30-year mortgage to beat a 15-year mortgage. Of cours... (read more)

1James_Miller
Only if you can come up with another synonym for house because it's inelegant to repeatedly used the word "house" in a single paragraph.

If a statement is false, that's the worst thing you can say about it.

-- Paul Graham

7Tyrrell_McAllister
But see also: -Isaac Asimov, The Relativity of Wrong (This was quoted by MichaelGR in a previous quote-thread.)
2SilasBarta
Huh? Isn't it worse to say that a statement is "not even wrong" -- that's it's content-free and doesn't specify a probability distribution you should move toward?
2arundelo
Source: http://www.paulgraham.com/say.html

The thing is, when you pick your target, you're going to pick someone who is unaware of their surroundings. By the time you're stalking them, it's too late for them. They're not going to notice you because you've selected for that.

I meant to say don't use your phone. Edited.

An exercise I learned from a martial arts class was to walk around at night, pretending that you're an attacker. Stalk a few people, and try to get into the mindset of preparing for an attack by catching them unaware. Note down what types of people you are more likely to attack, and what types of people you are likely to skip.

2benelliott
Out of interest, what happened when someone noticed you were stalking them?

Since this is a regular meetup, I added it to the meetup page on the wiki.

Shoe

Intensional: Article of clothing primarily designed to be worn on the foot.

Extensional: Hiking boots, flip-flops, snowshoes, Vibrams.

Hope

Intensional: Human sensation of the anticipation that a severe negative outcome will be avoided, when the circumstances are outside of one's control.

Extensional: A student waiting to receive the result of their final exams, for which a passing grade is required to pass the course. A rationalist wishing that cryonics will be successful. A religious person praying to God to cure a family member's cancer.

N.B. Perhaps it... (read more)

0injygo
Exceptions: socks; a girl who hopes to be a doctor when she grows up; barbed wire Also, the mayor of a town is generally called a politician despite not being well-known outside a narrow circle and possibly being newly elected.

My idea was to have some sort of calendar, where users can add events for one-shot meetups, or recurring events for the regular meetups. The events could then link to the appropriate post and/or mailing list.

Integration with Google Calendar / Apple iCal would also be awesome.

I commit to working on modifying the code to organize meetups in a way that makes more sense, if someone else is able to provide direction and authority. I haven't worked on the code before, and I can't promise anything except that I will attempt to work on it.

I have just read the github wiki. I will try to get an instance of the site running. What's the next step after that? Who else should I be coordinating with?

3matt
KenChen - kudos to you for publicly making this commitment. Unfortunately for you you're a member of reference class "low site karma people I don't know". The next step is to follow through with your commitment. Please let me know when you've successfully made the code run on your machine, and made even a trivial change to the site (that worked on your local machine).

You've been telling everyone at this cocktail party about this fantastic new rationality club, and how it's changed your life. You manage to get a few people interested enough to actually listen to what you're saying, a smaller subset to remember the name of the site, and a smaller subset to take the time to actually check out the site for an entire 90 seconds.

That's all you got.

So, after telling a room full of people about the awesomeness of rationality, maybe you get one person who decides to visit the site. They are looking for a justification for why t... (read more)

0FiftyTwo
I agree its not perfect, but it would still be a significant improvement on the current front page, which is almost always very brief comments about meet ups and tells you nothing about the content of the site or the community. The ideal would be a post that combined some of the content from it, the 'welcome to less wrong' page and had a good list of introductory articles.

IMO, there's a distinction between regular meetups, and one-shot meetups. It wouldn't make sense for a newcomer to see only one-shot meetups on the list, when a community in their city already exists.

Perhaps some sort of calendar would make sense, where anyone can post one-shot meetups, and regular meetups are represented by a recurring event.

As a quick alternative, would it make sense to create a promoted top-level post containing the Sequences, and "sticky" that post so that it's the first thing newcomers see?

You could create a preference to not display it for logged in users, if that's an issue.

0FiftyTwo
The current about less wrong page would make a decent front page. As it contains a brief description of the goals of the site, it's systems and links to good sample articles.

Sorry. I was sure there was previous discussion on this, so I just linked to the first thing that I could find. I didn't really read what you wrote, to be honest.

2XFrequentist
A note to that effect in the discussion post would seem appropriate.

Hugh Ristik, who was linked in the article, addresses the question of how to generate good pickup advice:

Feminists tend to criticize male sexual behavior and only explain what not to do. PUAs are exploring what to do. If feminists want to guide the expression of male sexuality in ways other than shouting “don’ts” from the peanut gallery, then they would do well to study the teachings of the seduction community, take from it what they like, and throw away the rest.

9cousin_it
That doesn't seem to be about generating new advice. Basically he proposes to take someone else's hard-won research, throw away the parts you don't like (with no way of knowing if these parts were important to the function), and repackage it as your own. I'm not sure you can get a superior product that way.

Hofstadter's Law: It always takes longer than you expect, even when you take into account Hofstadter's Law.

– Douglas Hofstadter, Gödel, Escher, Bach: An Eternal Golden Braid

2DSimon
Doesn't that spiral out to infinity?

I took the liberty of updating the meetup groups wiki page to include these weekly meetups. I couldn't find any mention of the regular Sat/Sun monthly meetups, so I didn't include those.

Also, it would be nice if these meetup posts linked to the wiki, which would allow newcomers to more easily find meetup information in one place (especially since I sometimes refer people from other cities to LW).

0kpreid
I agree that recurring meetup information ought to be on the wiki. (I have a particular interest in the organization of this information as I will be in Mountain View for this summer.) Regarding that page, what is meant by “Tortuga”? My searches only turn up a location in the far south, nowhere near “(in Mountain View)”.

I seem to recall that Sweden is "somewhat mountainous", so I suppose that the correct value is around 2000m.

I remember looking up the population of Libya recently, which is around 6m, and I feel like the population of Central African Republic is a bit lower. I suppose the correct value is around 3m.

"Ease of reading" is at least somewhat subjective, as different people learn and process information differently.

To the extent that the same idea may be presented in different ways, it may be beneficial to have different people write different writeups of the sequences (not necessarily shorter or less dense).

There is a site, True Knowledge, that attempts to answer such questions using methods similar to Watson's.

It relies on NLP and "facts"; for example, the query "What is the capital of the United States" relies on this fact:

This fact asserts that the relationship '"is the capital of"' exists between "Washington, D.C." and "the United States" at some point in time. Other facts in the knowledge base assert that this fact applies for the following time periods:

Each "fact" is assessed by a variety o... (read more)

Is there a page that lists all recurring LW meetups, everywhere?

2JGWeissman
I have just started such a page, and encourage people to add to it information about their local meetup groups.