All of McP82's Comments + Replies

McP8210

Yes, as said by supposedlyfun, it's really well written and many of us would have struggled to explain it as clearly as you did. I mean, I'm constantly working with AI systems (they're already doing quite a great job to predict tendencies and future evolutions: for example, apart from the COVID crisis, an AI program, given the data for 2000-2010 gave similar results to what happened in real life with the prices of this Budapest real estate https://tranio.com/hungary/budapest/ for the 2010-2020 period) and I'm always impressed at what's being achieved!

Sure,... (read more)

McP8210

That movie had been recommended to me several times, but I never got around to watch it; I guess if there's a moment to do so, it'd be now.

McP8210

That does sound like a fascinating read, I'll see where/if I can have it delivered where I live! I've never gotten used to e-readers, so that isn't an option...

McP8220

The thing with artificial intelligence is that it could be used for dangerous goals, too, and for this, there's no self-organised group of companies that will do their best to prevent that technology from falling in the wrong hands, unfortunately...

McP8250

In other words, if your defense is "just following orders", you're in the wrong. Petrov, too, was strongly influenced to launch the nukes, and still refused... Like that Soviet submarine commander who, during the Cuban Missile Crisis, thought he was engaged with live depth charges by the US Navy.

McP8210

Unfortunately, that's something our modern day luddites don't really understand... Especially the housework part, as it's often people living in comfortable, furnished housing who think this.

Sure, there IS an issue with plastic pollution and the massive reliance of humanity on cars, but abolishing their use to be "like in the good old days" would be catastrophic; instead, we should focus on finding industrial, modern solutions to these problems, like expanding recycling programs and infrastructure, and developing public transportation networks in cities and between villages and towns in the countryside.

2Simon Kohuch
A thought: if an agent has weak comparative power it makes sense to avoid intellectually investing in such things and to simply assume that the governance regime is either good or bad and then determine whether its good or bad by whether you think things are getting better or worse. This is the simplest decision method, pure black and white and as such represents minimizing intellectual investment. Minimal intellectual investment is rational if you don't have reason to believe it will effect the decision matrix in a meaningful way and you find such intellectual effort unrewarding (negative utility of the work is more than positive utility of exercising limited power). Obviously this goes against the point of LW but since we're talking about educating the plebs...
Answer by McP8220

Were the efforts to prevent North Korea from developing its nuclear technology self-imposed, or was it organised by governments?

1Jia
Thanks, I hadn't considered this series of efforts before! I just spent 15 minutes reading about denuclearization of North Korea, and it seems like most efforts (e.g. IAEA signing and crisis in 1994, withdrawal from NPT in 2003, six-party talks) involve governments and international organisations to a large degree. [1] But if you've got more information or sources to recommend, I'd love to learn more! [1] https://www.nti.org/learn/countries/north-korea/nuclear/