In the long run, ETH >> BTC. I'll even provide a few intuitions for why I think this:
Yeah, I think the notification system for comment threads could use some work.
If you would sometimes engage in a deep argument, it would be viable but I haven't seen a single post from you do try to deeply argue a case.
It might help to know that this is an account I created to be anonymous. When I have a "normal" post to write, I write it under my actual name.
Evernote works well for getting ideas stuck in your head on paper. I don't publish every random idea that I record in Evernote online and I see no reason why this community would encourage such behavior.
Something about getting social feedback feels a lot mor...
Okay, will do it each month (if it gets some traction).
Can one just spit out random, speculative opinions?
Sure.
Can one come and just unironically state "I think Trump being president is evidence that the aliens are among us" as long as they sincerely suspect the correlation?
Yup. That's the idea.
Sigh. I suppose I haven't. Can you steelman it for me? (At least in your own mind.) If you can't, then I suppose this post deserves all the downvotes it has.
But also useful in case we'll ever need to shutdown all computers. (Unlikely, I suppose. Again, open to better drill suggestions.)
Is it that it is a demonstration of humanity's ability to coordinate on a massive scale?
Yes!
Happy to hear proposals about fire drills with a feedback sooner than 1 year.
Either would be impressive. And I agree that Unstable would be even more impressive. (Didn't know the new set is the new Un-set.)
If that happened, how much close would you think AGI is?
Huh, now I'm really surprised by the number of downvotes. What gives?
Incorrectly tracts insanity for populations living before cryopreservation is discovered.
Relatedly, I think Paul Christiano wrote something similar to the SSC post, but I can't find it righ now.
Relatedly, basic advice for AI companies: never, ever hire anyone remote you haven't met in person.
Bitcoin blockchain == Clippy
I mean, just on priors, how likely is it that "Satoshi Nakomoto" can't be found precisely because they are not a real person (and are an AGI)? (Or a large organization / billionnaire, I suppose.)
When did "don't talk to strangers online, they might kidnap you" become "don't talk to strangers online, it might be the AGI"?
| I doubt it's the fastest way a super intelligent AI could make money though.
Uhm, Satoshi has 1 million bitcoins, which is $6.8B right now. He has made that over 9 years. How many other companies / people have done that? This is a ridiculous outlier. What kind of human wouldn't start using that money by now? May be a very wealthy billionaire, may be a large company, or may be AGI. But the probability it's one of the first two that doesn't care about a few extra billion dollars decreases every day.
Additional note on the person: my "friend"'s posts are mostly liked only by me. It's like he doesn't have any other friends who like his posts......
Satoshi Nakomoto == Deep Mind??
I bet Eliezer's readership could be doubled if someone rewrote his posts in a more positive tone. His style of "haha, look at how dumb everyone is" just doesn't sit well with a good number of people (and I've talked to a few of them), even if that's not quite what he is saying.