All of jrincayc's Comments + Replies

Research gate link: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/388398902_Memory_and_FLOPS_Hardware_Limits_to_Prevent_AGI

Second attempt: http://jjc.freeshell.org/writings/hardware_limits_for_agi_d2.pdf

Thank you for this, I still read it periodically.

First of all, I do agree with you that why haven't other civilizations created AGIs that have then spread far enough to reach Earth is a really interesting question as well, and I would be happy to see a discussion on that question.

For that question, I think you are missing a fourth possibility, AGI is almost always deadly, so on quantum branches where it develops anywhere in the light cone, no one observes it (at least not for long). So we don't see other civilization's AGI because we just are not alive on those quantum branches.

My first attempt to turn this into a paper: http://jjc.freeshell.org/writings/hardware_limits_for_agi_d1.pdf

For what it is worth, I did write a programming language over the course of about two years of my life ( https://github.com/jrincayc/rust_pr7rs/ ). I do agree that there are better and worse ways to spend time, and it is probably worth thinking about this. I think that when you "recoiled from the thought of actually analyzing whether there was anything better I could have been doing" is a good hint maybe writing a programming language wasn't the best thing for you. I wish you good skill and good luck in finding ways to spend your time.

Sounds interesting. 

For somewhat related reasons, I made a 2 column version of Rationality from AI to Zombies https://github.com/jrincayc/rationality-ai-zombies which is easier to print than the original version, and have printed multiple copies in the hope that some survive a global catastrophe.

I agree that the human brain is roughly at a local optimum. But think about what could be done just with adding a fiber optic connection between two brains (I think there are some ethical issues here so this is a thought experiment, not something I recommend). The two brains could be a kilometer apart, and the signal between them on the fiber optic link takes less time than a signal takes to get from one side to the other of a regular brain.  So these two brains could think together (probably with some (a lot?) neural rewiring) as fast as a regular br... (read more)

Hm, neuron impulses travel at around 200 m/s, electric signals travel at around 2e8 m/s, so I think electronics have an advantage there. (I agree that you may have a point with "That Alien Mindspace".)

Warren's full speech is available at archive.org: "Unfortunately, however, many of our people and some of our authorities and, I am afraid, many of our people in other parts of the country are of the opinion that because we have had no sabotage and no fifth column activities in this State since the beginning of the war, that means that none have been planned for us. But I take the view that that is the most ominous sign in our whole situation. It convinces me more than perhaps any other factor that the sabotage that we are to get, the fifth column ac... (read more)

First of all, crushes can get to the state where it is really hard to think rationally about them (Love and Limerence by Dorthy Tennov includes several example of irrationality). So I recommend trying to think rationally, but always consider the possibility that you are completely or partially wrong.

Second, realize that your own estimate of their attraction to you may very well be in the statistical noise range. From "Benefit or burden? Attraction in cross-sex friendship" by Bleske-Rechek et al. your estimates of their attraction is much ... (read more)