I'm getting strong DarqqWolf vibes to this whole saga
Although I've been that guy like 15 yrs ago, so I don't fault him for it that much
And at least he's pushing a fairly novel idea and taking it seriously
Everyone is more likely to move to cities
I vaguely remember that some physicist calculated that the density of everything you want increases by 15% every time a city doubles in size
So there's essentially a gravitational pull to cities
Not unlike how (unconstrained by gravity) sea creatures continue to grow in mass because it's more heat energy efficient due to the difference in scaling of volume to surface area
I agree with this insofar as this has always been my default / 60% case
Selfishly I also hope this is how it plays out (for sake of my career)
I also believe that it is the mainstream view
But independently I think there's a 20 to 30% chance that this is it, singularity hits very soon
And I have to be prepared for that
Yeah I like that approach
Part of it's probably that I work very long hours often 7 days a week (blah blah stash money before ASI kills my differentiator)
The biggest thing is not having a goal of being able to prove a solution to myself
Like stop the search early basically
Don't need to formalize or document everything or remember every finding
I think most of the time the brain actually does a pretty good job of gradually solving problems over time without conscious thought
We don't think of it as thought because it's not conscious or subtitl...
I basically discovered the same form of thinking after I learned the concept of amplification and distillation
The long-term results of this was severe OCD that took me 1.5-2 years to cut back
This is not to say that it's a bad idea, or a bad idea for everyone
But it's a very, very bad idea for some people
Basically I would spend so many hours every day just thinking, stuck in thought loops, stuck trying to gain some value out of generalizing
Trying to compress mental models that are impossible to learn implicitly into simplified models/...
I agree with this although it makes me think about company culture
There is huge emergent value to some of the.. let's call them "softer" communication approaches
It becomes possible to get out of random suboptimal Nash equilibriums almost immediately
People can give more to each other, and better receive feedback
But I think the only way to do this is by having the type of people who already think in those terms and prefer them
There's not a lot you can do to enforce it
But it's still a thing, and in my opinion it's still a t... (read more)