All of Rosoe's Comments + Replies

If you have listened to the episode it would be nice to relay what those details were. I'm not so interested in listening to a 2 hour podcast mostly about what I just read above to get a few sentences of detail especially so when Gene is here! I'm also keen to know about Kman's background too.

You’d like me to point out where you’ve only referenced individual papers for particular ideas and concepts? I can do that but I’d appreciate an answer to my question first if that’s okay.

1RichardJActon
GeneSmith gave some more details about his background in this episode of the Bayesian Conspiracy podcast: https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/02/231-superbabies-with-gene-smith/

May I ask what your respective scientific and genetics backgrounds are? I ask because this piece reads like many pieces where enthusiastic non-scientists pull together a bunch of papers without being able to assess the quality of those papers. I've also noticed a behaviour where you can't assess the quality of a paper then you over-estimate the positive effects that confirm your beliefs and ignore potential negative effects. This is an odd approach for most biologists I've worked with but is pretty typical of a layman. You also happy to work with single papers for many of your ideas, which again is something laymen inexperienced with scientific problems would do. 

1GeneSmith
I'd be interested in hearing where specifically you think we are doing that.

A side question: Why do you believe Claude/ChatGPT (not sure which model versions you used) can summarise this ‘common wisdom’? I’ve seen LLMs used in similar ways by other users and I don’t understand why or when it became commonly agreed LLMs could do this with any believability.

2ChristianKl
It's a combination of the way LLM work that they predict the most likely token that very similar to prediction common wisdom and experience of interacting with LLMs. Pattern matching also matters. After reading the answers from Claude and ChatGPT, you can ask yourself what you expect a person to tell you when you ask them for the top five reason and how likely it is that they will tell you "sports online betting" as one of the top five reasons. 

The genetic portions of this seem like a manifesto for creating highly intelligent, highly depressed, and thus highly unproductive people.

7TsviBT
What do you mean? Why would they be depressed? Do you mean because they'd be pressured into working on AGI alignment, or something? Yeah, don't do that. Same as with any other kids, you teach them to be curious and good and kind and strong and free and responsible and so on.