All of Ryan's Comments + Replies

Ryan90

Hi.

I comment pretty rarely but read very often.

EDIT: read mistercow's comment and I feel pretty much the same way.

Ryan10

May be something to that. Other animals have an innocence factor about them that humans lose pretty quickly for me. Especially by 2 years old or so, I start finding some human kid behavior more manipulative than cute.

Ryan60

Yep. As far as I can tell a world where people can be and are being revived is almost certainly one I want to live in.

Blueberry110

a world where people can be and are being revived is almost certainly one I want to live in.

Exactly, and that's really well stated. By being cryo-preserved, you're self-selecting for worlds where there is a high likelihood that

(a) contracts are honored (your resources are being used to revive you, as you intended),

(b) human lives, even very different humans from long ago, are respected (otherwise why go to all the trouble of dethawing),

(c) there is advanced neurotechnology sufficient to bring people back, and humanity is still around and has learned ... (read more)

2AndyWood
This is the single consideration in the cryonics debate that I remain unconvinced of. It seems very easy for me to imagine lots of futures that others might find worthwhile, that I would find very unpleasant. Off the top of my head: what if society is more regimented? What if one is expected to be very patriotic? What if it is a very collectivist culture? What if I still have to submit to hierarchies of one kind or another, for one reason or another? ... ... Are there good reasons to believe that human life in the future will be enjoyable to me? Can I do better than beginning with a bottom line that says "The future will be pleasant", and inventing justifications for why that's more likely than not?
Ryan10

Agreed we're in the successful group, easily. Sucks that NK exists as it is, but they are isolated and have no way to expand or threaten the world system. The fact that we can have websites like this, and people actually can sit in the basement and work on the math means we are doing well, up to this point at least.

My guess is more of the failed earths were long ago. Like humans continue to wander around in small tribes for millions of years and never get beyond stone-age technology. We are eventually wiped out by a meteor or some such.

1PhilGoetz
My guess is that there is a bottleneck still ahead of us. Evolution => intelligence => complexity => instability => collapse Many people here seem to think increasing intelligence will help us solve our problems. History indicates that increasing intelligence will increase the number and severity of our problems.
1conchis
Well, except for the nukes.
Ryan40

I know some people who are like the woman you describe, my own folks might be like that to some extent. I became atheist pretty early on. So I'm not sure that adults who believe in belief are likely to be passing that along to their kids, if they even try. In my case, I put on a show for a while, but when I stopped it was no big deal.

If these people are able to agree with a scientific worldview and not be obstructionist on things like stem cell, but simply want to add "and I believe there is a god" to the end of it, fine. Seems like a natural step towards the end of belief in god entirely.

Ryan20

I wonder about the value of any advice from a person or company once they hit their super success. Does someone like Buffett have influence to the point where he just forces his moves be good or great? Not that he would be unaware of that, but still.

Or Microsoft, they could release a piece of software which for them can make profits and define industry standards, but for another firm might be considered a disaster.

It does seem like the best advice from these types will at some point boil down to 'be me' or 'be us'. In that case its probably cheaper to learn the basics which can be taught elsewhere.

-1MartinB
The environment changes all the time. But some basics probably hold true. Work hard, work smart. Move slow, do not get hyped. Have good caches.
2[anonymous]
Warren Buffet's advice has always been "invest in index funds", which is a how-not-to-lose strategy. You won't make billions like he did investing in a straight index, but you'll beat around 80-90% of managed funds.
Ryan180

I'm with Kaj Sotala in not finding this ending to be awful.

The prospect of never feeling pain again would not in the least disturb me. Oh, I may 'enjoy' the pain of a good workout, but only because I believe it will help to reduce or postpone more pain later on.

The babyeating is weird, but we are talking about being transformed to want to do that, not being forced to do something we would actually find disgusting.

Whats the trouble there? I don't regret my past self being unable to forever prevent my current self from enjoying brussels sprouts.

-8DragonRIderIL
Ryan40

I find it odd that Mr. Lanier derides AI as a sort of religious belief, yet he is attached to the idea that consciousness is mystical and impenetrable. Surely the one invoking mystical and magical thinking is closer to a religious mindset?

Although frankly the whole comparison to religion is way overused and I don't think it applies to the views of either of them.

Ryan00

"You cannot rely on anyone else to argue you out of your mistakes; you cannot rely on anyone else to save you; you and only you are obligated to find the flaws in your positions; if you put that burden down, don't expect anyone else to pick it up."

Really? Over the last few years I've changed my outlook and positions on lots of issues based on reading sites like this, among other material I didn't generate myself.

I guess the willingness to change based on new information must have been in place already to some extent. Yet I feel like I was pushed quite distinctly by exposing myself to papers and books about cognitive bias and such.

Ryan40

The positivist accusation seems obviously false just based on the whole quantum mechanics series of posts.