Very nice exploration of this idea. But I don't see mention, in the main post, and couldn't find by simple search, in the comments, any mention of my biggest concern about this notion of an AI development slowdown (or complete halt, as EY recently called for in Time):
Years of delay would put a significant kink in the smooth exponential progress charts of e.g. Ray Kurzweil. Which is a big deal, in my opinion, because:
(1) They're not recognised as laws of nature. But these trends, across so many technologies and the entire history of complexity, in the unive... (read more)
Very nice exploration of this idea. But I don't see mention, in the main post, and couldn't find by simple search, in the comments, any mention of my biggest concern about this notion of an AI development slowdown (or complete halt, as EY recently called for in Time):
Years of delay would put a significant kink in the smooth exponential progress charts of e.g. Ray Kurzweil. Which is a big deal, in my opinion, because:
(1) They're not recognised as laws of nature. But these trends, across so many technologies and the entire history of complexity, in the unive... (read more)