All of zimtkerl's Comments + Replies

Would it be possible to set up tax deduction for Germany? I am considering donating and would be even more inclined to do that if a tax deduction was available; I may still donate even if that was not the case.

I got a Fatebook account at the beginning of 2024. After concluding the "Frictionless" section of this post, I felt encouraged to install the Firefox extension and make a prediction to share here.

Given that I haven't had time to read the full post in detail and that I feel that I want to get better at actively using predictions as a planning and calibration tool - and knowing that I may have time to dedicate to this activity within the next two weeks - I made the following, simple prediction.

⚖ Will I finish reading the post "Fluent, Cruxy Predictions" by R... (read more)

• $p(┌\neg a┐)<1-c$.
• $p(┌b\vee \neg a┐)\le p(┌b┐)+p(┌\neg a┐)<p(┌b┐)+1-c$.

Are you deriving these two points only using the axioms provided in the "Setup" section, or are you assuming all four axioms stated afterward here?

You are welcome. By the way, I really enjoyed delving into this work of yours, it is pleasant to read and its intricate structure provides a lot of fun. Thank you!

"The tentacled brain launched itself at the Memnuela"