Forecasting & Prediction

Applied to Should we expect the future to be good? by Neil Crawford 2d ago

Applied to Q2 AI Forecasting Benchmark: $30,000 in Prizes by Lucie Philippon 10d ago

Applied to Could LLMs Learn to Detect Bias Autonomously, Like Tesla’s Self-Driving Cars? by Raemon 13d ago

Applied to Three Months In, Evaluating Three Rationalist Cases for Trump by Arjun Panickssery 13d ago

Applied to Horn’s Chain: A Functional Answer to the Hard Problem of Consciousness by Galileo 14d ago

Applied to How likely are the USA to decay and how will it influence the AI development? by StanislavKrym 20d ago

Applied to Currency Collapse by prue 21d ago

Applied to AI 2027: Responses by MondSemmel 23d ago

Applied to Proliferation, Entropy and the Alignment Problem by Mikil Foss 25d ago

Applied to Prediction Markets Are Mediocre by Ape in the coat 1mo ago

Applied to Most Questionable Details in 'AI 2027' by scarcegreengrass 1mo ago

Applied to POTUS Predictions Tournament by RobertM 1mo ago

Applied to How prediction markets can create harmful outcomes: a case study by B Jacobs 1mo ago

Applied to A New Challenge to all Bayesians! by milanrosko 1mo ago

Applied to The Case For Geopolitical Financial Speculation by prue 1mo ago