Stuart_Armstrong comments on The Absent-Minded Driver - Less Wrong

27 Post author: Wei_Dai 16 September 2009 12:51AM

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Comment author: Stuart_Armstrong 25 September 2009 11:32:22AM 0 points [-]

Your payoff for choosing CONTINUE with probability p becomes α[p2+4(1-p)p] + (1-α)[p+4(1-p)]

I think that's twice as much as it should be, since neither your decision at X, nor at Y, contribute entirely to your utility result.