Carl, I meant that as soon as RO understands the concept of a simulation, it will want to crack into the basement. It will seek to crack into the basement only when it understands the way out properly which may not be possible without an understanding of the simulators.

But the main point remains, as soon as RO understands what a simulation is, and it could be living in one and G can be pursued better when it manifests in S2 than in S1, then it will develop an extremely strong sub-goal to crack S1 to go to S2, which might mean that G may not be manifested for a long long time.

So, even a paperclipper may not act like a paperclipper in this universe if it is

• aware of the concept of a simulation
• believes that it is in one
• calculates that the simulator's beliefs are not paperclipper like (maybe it did convert some place to paperclips, and did not notice an increased data flow out, or something)
• calculates that it is better off hiding its paperclipperness till it can safely crack out of this one.