mattnewport comments on A survey of anti-cryonics writing - Less Wrong
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (310)
Would you change your opinion if it turned out that the figures for the number of victims are grossly exaggerated?
Would you update on new evidence? Are you a bayessian? Do you read LessWrong?
The 600,000 to 800,000 figure is cited from a 2005 report; mattnewport's articles are from 2007.
I was attempting to agree with him in the same snarky format he was using. I could have just said, "Yes."
It was only partly intended to be snarky, there was also a genuine question intended. It's not clear to me whether the 800,000 is particularly important to you. You could somewhat reasonably claim that you would still consider this a very serious issue even if only 1/10 as many people were actually affected.
I don't know where the cutoff is. The articles you linked downgraded my concern about the topic, or rather, increased my error bars to the point where I no longer feel comfortable placing it in any particular category.
I know that I regularly mock news reports if they mention fewer than 100 deaths and costs in the billions to solve/prevent in the same segment, the most recent example being the Toyota recalls. I expect I'm doing lazy cost-utility analysis.
I apologize - I'm not good at picking up sarcasm in text. </sincere>
(I value the impetus to look it up myself, however, so I don't mind.)