brazil84 comments on Undiscriminating Skepticism - Less Wrong

97 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 14 March 2010 11:23PM

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Comment author: brazil84 25 March 2010 12:40:31AM -2 points [-]

The two cases aren't even roughly comparable.

The fundamental similarity is that it's possible to be reasonable confident of a conclusion based on general knowledge, common sense, and despite scientific studies to the contrary.

Now for the hundredth time, if you would like to share the knowledge that we don't have that makes you so confident you are welcome to.

Lol, you have all the knowledge necessary to come to the same conclusion as I have. Surely you are aware that the cognitive gap between blacks and whites is essentially universal and intractable*. In both time and space, as far as anyone knows. While at the same time, other explanations offered for the gap are not so.

There is only one reasonable inference from these facts. One simple explanation which is not inherently ridiculous.

*I agree that the gap can be lessened to some extent since black children face the environmental disadvantage of being raised by black parents.

Comment author: wnoise 25 March 2010 06:00:01PM 0 points [-]

it's possible to be reasonable confident of a conclusion based on general knowledge, common sense, and despite scientific studies to the contrary.

This is true. It's also possible to be way too overconfident, based on these same things, and unacknowledged confounders. This is the problem that scientific studies try to address.

Comment author: brazil84 25 March 2010 06:22:15PM 2 points [-]

It's also possible to be way too overconfident, based on these same things, and unacknowledged confounders

Agree.

This is the problem that scientific studies try to address.

Well, that and other things as well.