Caspian comments on Undiscriminating Skepticism - Less Wrong

97 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 14 March 2010 11:23PM

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Comment author: Caspian 24 January 2012 09:45:45AM *  0 points [-]

Instead of:

IF all evidence available indicates p(B|A) = 0.95

you mean:

IF all evidence available indicates p(A|B) = 0.95

Right?

Comment author: wedrifid 24 January 2012 09:57:57AM *  1 point [-]

Right?

Yes, I think I originally actually meant to put the actual A and B around the other way in the conclusion, which is how I did the actual math on the calculator. If A is the thing that has happened p(B|A) is the thing that belongs in the conclusion. Let me fix that. Thanks again.