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roland comments on Closet survey #1 - Less Wrong
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I believe that WTC building 7 was brought down by controlled demolition using explosives:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LD06SAf0p9A
I know from a previous discussion in OB that at least Robert Hanson doesn't believe this. Btw, WTC 7 was NOT one of the two towers hit by planes.
Edit: Robert Hanson and others believe that the building collapsed due do fire induced damage. I think the pattern of collapse disproves this hypothesis.
I find this plausible but not too reliable, a non-Bayesian way would be to say "positive point estimate, not statistically significant", I'm not sure what's the nice Bayesian way of saying that.
I also believe this.