wedrifid comments on Other Existential Risks - Less Wrong

32 Post author: multifoliaterose 17 August 2010 09:24PM

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Comment author: wedrifid 19 August 2010 12:15:12PM *  1 point [-]

Another argument that fails is that sufficient amount of evidence might possibly cause convergence of some priors - but first our evidence for gray goo or fai is barely existent in any way, and second even infinite amount of evidence will leave far too much up to priors - grue/bleen Bayesians will never agree with green/blue Bayesians.

Even if Aumann threatens to spank them and send them to their rooms for not playing nice?

Comment author: taw 19 August 2010 12:29:07PM 0 points [-]

Aumann assumes shared priors, which they explicitly don't have. And you cannot "assume shared pre-priors", or any other such workaround.