cousin_it comments on Rationality Quotes November 2011 - Less Wrong

6 Post author: Jayson_Virissimo 01 November 2011 06:28PM

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Comment author: cousin_it 29 November 2011 07:27:48PM *  4 points [-]

The argument was wrong even by the standards of the time. You just misunderstand the concept of divination :-) It doesn't rely on the bird consciously knowing anything. In fact, instead of watching the bird, you can kill it and inspect its entrails. Divination works (or doesn't) because the will of the gods leaks into the pattern of visible things (or doesn't).

Comment author: gwern 29 November 2011 08:44:11PM 3 points [-]

You can patch the argument easily; either the gods want their will known or not. If they don't, then the augur is screwed; if they do, then they want the bird to survive (to the point where the augur can figure out what was meant); and so on.

Comment author: Vaniver 29 November 2011 09:11:07PM *  3 points [-]

The gods are not required to be helpful, especially to the sacrilegious.

Comment author: Marius 29 November 2011 09:31:10PM 1 point [-]

No, but the people who believed in the Greek deities also typically believed those deities were heavily invested in immediate mortal conflicts and highly sensitive to slights. Those Greeks would have expected some protection for the bird or retaliation against Meshullam. Seeing none would provide evidence that the bird was not a favorite of any of their deities.

Comment author: gwern 29 November 2011 09:40:26PM 0 points [-]

Deorum iniuriae Diis curae. This was not sarcastic or mocking in the slightest bit, as Marius points out and a reading of Herodotus will remind one.

Comment author: cousin_it 29 November 2011 09:55:33PM *  1 point [-]

It seems that any wrong argument for a correct conclusion has a decent chance of being patchable into a correct argument by a sufficiently smart patcher, so arguing about patchability of such arguments doesn't make much sense.

Comment author: gwern 29 November 2011 10:46:05PM 4 points [-]

Such runs an argument against the principle of charity, indeed, that it licenses special pleading or endless special-casing.

Comment author: cousin_it 29 November 2011 10:49:04PM *  0 points [-]

Nice connection! I see we had a post about that recently.

Comment author: Luke_A_Somers 29 November 2011 08:13:59PM 0 points [-]

I'd just shoot the bird and carry it with me. Then whichever way I went was the right one!